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Forums - Sony Discussion - What Will Vita's Sales Be With The Official Price Cut In The US?(Week Ending Aug 24th)

Ponyless on 22 August 2013

i'm thinking around 25-30k... so i'll go with 28k!



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zorg1000 on 22 August 2013

18,000



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riderz13371 on 22 August 2013
JWeinCom said:
tbone51 said:
JWeinCom said:
I think maybe 15K. It will get a nice little boost, but overall price is not what's holding the device back.



i think it should do alot more, but just the first week or so, jump up with killzone then do 15k-20k avg a week!


I don't think so.  Killzone isn't a really huge franchise, and it's not a slow burning franchise either.  The Vita could likely do 20K when Killzone comes out, but it's not going to be a sustained boost.  It'll be like the Wii U with Pikmin.  A small jump then back to normal in 2-3 weeks.

It's not a huge franchise but people have been dying for a proper FPS game on the Vita and this one looks to deliver. 



riderz13371 on 22 August 2013

I'm going to say 28,873



Fusioncode on 22 August 2013

I'll say 30k FW and then an average of 10-15k.



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the_dengle on 22 August 2013

40k...why not?

(Mostly because it's not taken yet.)



OdinHades on 22 August 2013

32,771



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Zappykins on 22 August 2013

I'm guessing here but 17,504 to 22,212. Also depends how much they promote it.



 

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forethought14 on 22 August 2013

15-20K......fine then....17K.



JWeinCom on 22 August 2013
riderz13371 said:
JWeinCom said:
tbone51 said:
JWeinCom said:
I think maybe 15K. It will get a nice little boost, but overall price is not what's holding the device back.



i think it should do alot more, but just the first week or so, jump up with killzone then do 15k-20k avg a week!


I don't think so.  Killzone isn't a really huge franchise, and it's not a slow burning franchise either.  The Vita could likely do 20K when Killzone comes out, but it's not going to be a sustained boost.  It'll be like the Wii U with Pikmin.  A small jump then back to normal in 2-3 weeks.

It's not a huge franchise but people have been dying for a proper FPS game on the Vita and this one looks to deliver.

The 3DS is pushing about 30-35K a week, with the XBox 360 a bit below that.  The Vita currently sells about 5K a week.  Boosted to about 8K with Dragon Crown.  Wii U sells between 8 and 10 K a week.  Boosted to about 16K with Pikmin 3. 

If we assume the price cut doubles the demand of the Vita, it's still a baseline of 10K or so a week.  That would put it around the baseline sales of the Wii U.  Even if Killzone gives a bigger boost than Pikmin 3, we're at maybe a little over 20K for that week.  An average og 20K is not realistic until perhaps the holidays..

People just aren't being all that realistic.  People are expecting 5-9X increases from baseline sales for week 1.  And 4X the baseline sales from then on?  I think people need to be more realistic.