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JWeinCom on 22 August 2013
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riderz13371 said:
JWeinCom said:
tbone51 said:
JWeinCom said:
I think maybe 15K. It will get a nice little boost, but overall price is not what's holding the device back.



i think it should do alot more, but just the first week or so, jump up with killzone then do 15k-20k avg a week!


I don't think so.  Killzone isn't a really huge franchise, and it's not a slow burning franchise either.  The Vita could likely do 20K when Killzone comes out, but it's not going to be a sustained boost.  It'll be like the Wii U with Pikmin.  A small jump then back to normal in 2-3 weeks.

It's not a huge franchise but people have been dying for a proper FPS game on the Vita and this one looks to deliver.

The 3DS is pushing about 30-35K a week, with the XBox 360 a bit below that.  The Vita currently sells about 5K a week.  Boosted to about 8K with Dragon Crown.  Wii U sells between 8 and 10 K a week.  Boosted to about 16K with Pikmin 3. 

If we assume the price cut doubles the demand of the Vita, it's still a baseline of 10K or so a week.  That would put it around the baseline sales of the Wii U.  Even if Killzone gives a bigger boost than Pikmin 3, we're at maybe a little over 20K for that week.  An average og 20K is not realistic until perhaps the holidays..

People just aren't being all that realistic.  People are expecting 5-9X increases from baseline sales for week 1.  And 4X the baseline sales from then on?  I think people need to be more realistic.