Good for Freedom Wars on the sell-through; a little amusing but not surprising at the lack of Hyrule Warriors, and also Smash Bros and Tales surprise entries.

Coupled with the insane boosts of the top three and it's been a pretty good day all round. So...let's keep things nice and calm, alright?

Hey T, let's send positive vibes to Japan and hope for a 100k FW sales (there are fans around and 3 SKU are a rare eent for a Nintendo release) plus a bundle?... I will be very happy with 250k LT.

But 1 million WW LT would be amazing!

Let's aim to taht, we can say we were wrong afterwards!!!

I knew Smash Bros Wii U would show up! I didn't want to jinx it

Ahh, excellent, I was waiting for this.

I had hoped Sony were going to have a massive shipment for Freedom Wars (like 250k+) because they're pushing it as such a big new IP, but with these sellthrough figures I think that's a pipedream.  Likely about 200k shipped.

I wonder what Bamco shipped for Kamen Rider WiiU.  If it's like 10k or 20k, then 30% sellthrough is going to be pretty low sales :(

I wonder if Girls Und Panzer was affected by its terrible Famitsu review.

Define "flop".

Given how ridiculously low your expectations are, there's no way this game is going to flop for you at all, is there?

I think all of Think-Man's comparisons are fair.  Although they're 3 x anime series, they still all had a lot of buzz around the first in their respective musou titles because they were something new and exciting.  I wouldn't expect similar levels because Japan cares less about Zelda, but still, I'd expect more than 55k first week which would honestly be a complete disaster.

There's being pessimistic, and then there's lowballing everything so you can make it look better if the game does underperform, and it feels like you're doing the latter here Tbone.

It still has time because there's 3 SKU's and a good while until release yet.  But the bar for entry isn't going to get any lower than this into COMG, and it is surprising not to see it here yet.

Really sorry to post 4 time in a row, but to be fair it's been an hour and no-one else has said anything yet.

Here's some more retail musings from Japan Blogs:

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=118429985&postcount=491

GamesMaya Top 3 (first day sales):

1. Freedom Wars (PSV). The game is pushing hardware. It is being bought by high school and university students.
2. Watch Dogs (PS4). The game is pushing hardware too. It is being bought by young men.
3. Kamen Rider 2 (PS3). It's selling in a slower pace than the last entry.

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=118445483&postcount=495

he had a few comments this week like fw apealing to younger crowd? kamen rider lower than the previous one, ps wd lower sellthrough but slightly higher total volume, something about taiko 

Just trying to shed some light on Freedom Wars' performance using the figures from Kresnik's archive (thanks btw, otherwise this would be a right PITA)

Top 7 Vita Games Ranked by COMG points

TItle / End Points / FW Sales / Ratio

God Eater 2 / 411 / 264,381 / 1:644

Sword Art Online / 233 / 143,236 / 1:615

Persona 4 Golden / >192 / 137,128 / 1: > 714

Freedom Wars / 181 / ? / ?

Hatsune Miku: Project Diva f / 178 / 159,688 / 1:897

Hatsune Miku: Project Diva f 2nd / 144 / 100,185 / 1:696

Toukiden / 138 / 124,274 / 1:901

Highlighted the ones I think are most significant, at the 1:901 ratio Toukiden achieved, Freedom Wars would convert it's points into 163k sales FW. Now Toukiden had the advantage of there being slightly fewer hunting games on the system at the time (really it was only Soul Sacrifice, now there's SSD and God Eater 2) and so expecting a leap of 40k sales for FW seems a little high to me, but I think 150k is a realistic expectation (that would be the 4th best selling FW Vita game, beaten by GE2, FFX/X-2 HD (with all the SKUs added together) and the first Miku game, but ahead of SAO.

Hardware bumpage will be interesting, FW will probably be more popular than Toukiden (which boosted Vita to 31k if my memory serves), but Toukiden had an LE Vita bundle with FW doesn't

Youkai is doing incredibly well, it's come outa no where. You guys think it can do 1m FW? It's getting dangerously close to that!