That's my thoughts too be honest.... But many people did write off the PS3 (like they currently are with the Vita)... So there is still time to rescue it... though it is going to be potentially a difficult year for them if they are not careful and dont have the games ready to show for E3 (no fireworks displays :).

My biggest problem with the device is that is is totally underpowered...  unlike the Vita.. which is good honest hardcore tech, and it can do a PS3... slow years and improve (as long as its supported right). No reason why it cannot do a PS3... but the Wii-u running tech that is just a little better than current HD machines of 6 or 7 years, could really be its undoing. Can I see people wanting a a Wii-u in two or three years time... I just dont see it... I just dont think it will have the legs.

why is this even a comparison? its kinda like saying which one will sell more apple or oranges or am i missing something.

I was first to call it that Vita will outsell Wii U in the period January - September. We know nothing about the Christmas period for these consoles, so we really can only guess, but I think that this Christmas will belong to PS4 and X720. Vita should also get some sales, as it will finally be cheap, while Wii U will be stuck in the dead land. Much more expensive than Vita, much weaker and underhyped compared to PS4/X720.

My guesses:
Vita sells more Jan-Sept.
Christmas period is for the taking, Nintendo will most likely release so heavy hitters, but they will be competing with two different beasts, so Vita may quietly continue to outsell Wii U.

doubt it.  While they should have good launches, fact is, price remains king.  Wii U delayed launch until 2012, hoping for PS360 fatigue, and even those old consoles are still selling, mainly due to their lower cost (ps3 & 360 had 2-3 game bundled w/console FFS).  Wii U will have high profile games and a price drop (guessing Nintyland preinstalled) to combat those new consoles, and should win the holidays.

So far you're right.

I don't think these games will have a lasting effect on sales, but we will see:

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=152379

I don't quite understand the comparison. The Vita has already outsold the Wonderswan (in Japan alone) in only just over 1 year on sale while Wonderswan was available for more time. It even had Final Fantasy games while the Vita had none yet. Vita has in one year a library that is almost as large (larger if we consider PSP and PSone games).

Also considering Sony never abandoned its platforms, and no Sony platform ever sold below 70M, we have to see how many repeated failures it will take for Sony to finally give up on it. I say not any soon.

Even if there is a small sustained boost the WiiU at best it would match WiiU numbers, but the WiiU would outsell it during the holidays.

With what games? What does it have that compares to stuff like a new Mario platformer or Mario Kart...?

This Christmas people won't be buying conoles based on reason, but based on hype. Wii U is underhyped and I can't see that changing, while MS and Sony will start the craziest campaigns the industry has ever seen (I expect that mainly from MS). I wouln't say Nintendo delayed the launch of Wii U. If anything, it looked like it was rushed just to get it out for Christmas, which is even more shocking considering what we find out about the specs. Wii U may outsell Vita this Christmas, but there is no way in hell it's going to battle the next consoles from Sony and MS. Not in the hottest weeks. Look where it is now, it will improve but you can't reasonably argue that it will dominate next Christmas, it will most probably bounce back in early 2014 when competition will enter the "no games" period. I think that Wii U will still be battling Vita in 2013, which hopefully starts to sell now. Wii U will get big 1st party games, but Vita will be much cheaper, will already have a very good library and will also get some new big titles - a game from Sony Bend is a given, we'll see what else, I'm still hoping for Phantom Pain to be a Vita exclusive this Christmas, maybe they can even release that bloody FFX HD by that time?

I still think that this year we're going to see two couples battling each other, PS4 vs. X720 and Wii U vs. Vita. Next year is a mistery and it's too early to predict anything.