Daring prediction, but I think it'll come true by 2016. Will update this thread.

Feel free to tell me what you think.

FY2012: 13.6m( 77,5m) New Slim model and pricecut will inject a boost in PS3 sales, PS3 will for the first time ever reach the 199 pricepoint

FY2013: 11.5m (89m) Continuing effect of the pricecut and demand for the new models

FY2014: 8m (97m) By this time the focus will be shifted towards the PS4, PS3 sales pick up in emerging markets

FY2015: 6m (103m) PS3 has a notable but small presence in the West but majority of the sales are registered in emerging economies

FY2016: 3(106m) last sales, completing the 10th anniversary of PS3

Total sales 105m-110m. Give or take a few millions.

I think you're wrong.

I don't think the PS3 will ever hit 100 million

Only Wii can reach not 105m but more than

If PS3 sells like PS2 for a long time, it may....

ps2 sold 40 millions after the next gen was out.

Seriously?

No Seriously now? We should be happy if the PS3 ever catches the 360.

I dont think either will hit 105 Million.

Ahahaha, people seriously believe this?

No way will the PS3 sell any more than 10mil a year after this year. And it will NOT have the selling power of the PS2, because the PS2 was dominant then, and gaming has changed. It's near saturation. Only the Wii will hit it, and will hit it late 2013/early 2014.

The way I see it, PS3 will sell:

2012- 11mil (-20% YoY)
2013- 7-8mil (-28% or -35% YoY), PS4 launch
2014- 4mil (-50%ish)
2015- Minimum sales, say another 5-10mil overall

And this is being optimistic. This would leave the PS3 at around 90 mil when all is said and done. Damn respectable, but where are these other magical numbers coming from? Where's the other 15mil? That would require an entire year of 2011 sales to be added onto these numbers, and that isn't happening. The only possibility is the Slim boosts sales a bit more than expected, so 12mil this year, and add another 1mil on there. But there's still a huge shortfall.

All the Wii needs to do is sell another 9 mil LT. Expecting another 4 this year, and 2 the year after, so it'll trickle to 105mil. But no way will the PS3 get near it.

i give it 85 mill max