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Forums - Sales Discussion - John Lucas Style Super Smash Bros. Brawl Predictions!

bigjon said:
well so far you are 1 for 3... I am almost sure you will be correct in US(maybe even on launch day) think you are a bit high for Others... look at Melee's numbers. Others was the only territory it failed to sell 1 million. BUT I do beleive your total will be correct because Japan and NA will make up for a lower others.
The reason SSBM failed to sell 1 million in Others is because Others was the Gamecube's worst region. Now the Wii is the leading platform, take that into account

 



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I am thinking 500k max for others... titles typically do not have huge opening there.



End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)

Wii- 72 million   3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases

360- 37 million   Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak

PS3- 29 million  Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut

bigjon said:
well so far you are 1 for 3... I am almost sure you will be correct in US(maybe even on launch day) think you are a bit high for Others... look at Melee's numbers. Others was the only territory it failed to sell 1 million. BUT I do beleive your total will be correct because Japan and NA will make up for a lower others.

Like Joeron said Others was the gamecubes weakest region. Now Japan is the Wii's weakest region but Brawl was still able to sell a ton there. So imagine how much it will sell there.



I am really Xeo_842 but I can no longer log in under that name.

Bet with OriGin: Within 1 year Super Smash Bros. Brawl will be ahead of Mario Kart Wii (when aligning the one whole year from each region). 2 week ban from VGChartz for the loser. 

First Week Sales:
NA: 1.5 millions
Japan: 700k
Others: 900k



I'm hoping America can show Japan up with 1.4 million personally



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dtekdahl00 said:
I'm hoping America can show Japan up with 1.4 million personally

 IMO its not a matter of if they can sell that many but if they can ship that many.  I might be overyhyped for the game and off base but thats how I see it right...time shall tell.



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highwaystar101 said:
OT but sam fisher to go head to head with snake, seeing as some levels you play with 2 characters, we just need him to be confirmed.
Just imagine a co-op stealth game,

 12m is not that hard, its at 7.2m now. GOW sold 1m in NA in its first full year and Halo is selling a lot better in Jan than GoW did. 1.5m+ looks like what it will get this year + 500k in others for over 9m at end of 2008 3m in 3 years before next gen is not that hard, realistically.



Those are some crazy predictions but lets hope they ring true. I think SSBB will sell 2 million in japan alone before it launches in america and will sell 13-16 million ww. Crazy predictions are fun.



 

 

well it seems your predictions have a shot of being true after the huge japan launch



tag:"reviews only matter for the real hardcore gamer"

Yeah! My Japan prediction was correct. It did 850k in Japan first week! Who's laughing now?



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Bet with OriGin: Within 1 year Super Smash Bros. Brawl will be ahead of Mario Kart Wii (when aligning the one whole year from each region). 2 week ban from Vgchartz for the loser. Edit: Darn! Looks like OriGin will win.