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Forums - Nintendo - Is Nintendo ready to win this Holiday Season?

Carl on 18 August 2011

Yes. Due to a huge increase in 3DS sales, and continued great DS sales.

Wii, on the other hand, wont do nowhere near as well as previous Years.



                            

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NYANKS on 18 August 2011

I know it's Amazon, but seeing the PSP above the 3DS just now kinda blew my mind lol. I'm still not 100% sold on 3DS, I have to see the next few weeks...



Soleron on 18 August 2011

I have 100% bought into Malstrom's worldview. The price cut and games will have no effect.



killeryoshis on 18 August 2011
Seece said:
killeryoshis said:
Seece said:
killeryoshis said:
Seece said:
killeryoshis said:
If I go by past trends. The wii will easily win these holidays. Dunno about 2nd though.

Which would be a mistake.


Wii gets the craziest boosts in the holidays my friend. The only way it'll lose if the other two do really well or the wii gets so low that it'll be impossiablr to recover by the holidays. The wii at worst could behind first place by 25k to 30k for me to consider myself wrong by october. Its less then 10k on the week ending of Auguest 6th

Not really, the gap each xmas is getting smaller and smaller, Japan it'll be lucky to clear 400k over November and December combined. America 360 will take (with a  price cut it'll storm it) and EMEAA wii will slightly beat out X360, although it hasn't thrashed it there this year either.

If all you have is 'oh well past xmas's Wii has catapulted to 1st, then you're not going to get very far. Nothing is set and stone and Wii has fallen far harder this year than last year, and that's with a price cut.

Week on October 30th
360 213,045
Wii 278,973

Week ending of December 25th
Wii 1,458,016
360 1,114,283

Amount of increase
Wii 1,179,043
360 901,238

See what I mean? And 360 had kinect.  The wii only had bundles and Donkey kong.  Expect the 360 to win with a price cut at best.  and that's if they come with one.

360 had pretty severe supply issues, whereas Nintendo had the opposite.

Q1 shipments

360 - 2.7
Wii - 1.37

Not to mention that was last year.


Shrinking the big picture huh ?
Sales so far this year
Wii - 5,078,632
360 - 4,983,091

At best it will take 5 to 10 weeks to close that gap since 360 is beating wii right now. Though by then it'll be late Semptember to Early October. In like a week or two the holiday season starts. The only way 360 can win is with a price cut. unless kinect for some unknown reason sells systems again and that's if nintendo doesn't do bundles like last year



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Seece on 18 August 2011
killeryoshis said:
Seece said:
killeryoshis said:
Seece said:
killeryoshis said:
Seece said:
killeryoshis said:
If I go by past trends. The wii will easily win these holidays. Dunno about 2nd though.

Which would be a mistake.


Wii gets the craziest boosts in the holidays my friend. The only way it'll lose if the other two do really well or the wii gets so low that it'll be impossiablr to recover by the holidays. The wii at worst could behind first place by 25k to 30k for me to consider myself wrong by october. Its less then 10k on the week ending of Auguest 6th

Not really, the gap each xmas is getting smaller and smaller, Japan it'll be lucky to clear 400k over November and December combined. America 360 will take (with a  price cut it'll storm it) and EMEAA wii will slightly beat out X360, although it hasn't thrashed it there this year either.

If all you have is 'oh well past xmas's Wii has catapulted to 1st, then you're not going to get very far. Nothing is set and stone and Wii has fallen far harder this year than last year, and that's with a price cut.

Week on October 30th
360 213,045
Wii 278,973

Week ending of December 25th
Wii 1,458,016
360 1,114,283

Amount of increase
Wii 1,179,043
360 901,238

See what I mean? And 360 had kinect.  The wii only had bundles and Donkey kong.  Expect the 360 to win with a price cut at best.  and that's if they come with one.

360 had pretty severe supply issues, whereas Nintendo had the opposite.

Q1 shipments

360 - 2.7
Wii - 1.37

Not to mention that was last year.


Shrinking the big picture huh ?
Sales so far this year
Wii - 5,078,632
360 - 4,983,091

At best it will take 5 to 10 weeks to close that gap since 360 is beating wii right now. Though by then it'll be late Semptember to Early October. In like a week or two the holiday season starts. The only way 360 can win is with a price cut. unless kinect for some unknown reason sells systems again and that's if nintendo doesn't do bundles like last year

I don't need to shrink any picture. Despite a price cut Wii is back to 3rd WW, despite 360 not having had one for 3 years now. Shipments 360 is ahead over 1.4 million, and will likely outship it this Q and the holiday Q (given the stats I gave in a previous post about MS undershipping last Q4 and Nintendo overshipping)

So MS are likely to win 4 Q's in a row and not beat them? lol

Also when Wii was adjusted down 800k a few weeks ago, none of it was from this year, which looks like perhaps it should have been (just my opinion) given NPD show a 770k gap alone without other Americas, wheras we show a 500k gap



 

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TakeMeToTheHospital on 18 August 2011
morenoingrato said:
Wii + 3DS + DS > PS3 + PSP+ Vita? Yes.
3DS > Vita? Duh, Vita is Japan only.
DS > PSP? Always.
Wii > 360 or PS3? No way.



I think you're wrong bro. The Wii will outsell 360 and PS3 by heaps. The cheaper price and great reputation makes it a perfect gift for kids.   



TomaTito on 19 August 2011
melbye said:
Nintendo will probably sell a years worth of software and hardware in 2 months, as usual. 3DS will finally be the hit it should be with Super Mario 3D Land and Mario Kart 7, but sadly Kid Icarus will probably be a minor flop. Kirby will do OK on both plattforms and Layton 4 will be a big hit. Skyward Sword will sell, but it will not be a systemseller.

That's because they compress a years worth of software in 2 months xD



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fedfed on 19 August 2011

Sorry Guys I have completely different numbers from u.


Summing all weeks this year Wii is in second position. 500k away from number one PS3 and 420K above third place 360 (almost 1mil away from PS3)

How could 360 always been mentioned as winner?

Only time will tell I guess....



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