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Forums - Sales Discussion - May Circana (NPD) 2024 Thread + Predictions

May 2024 Circana (NPD) covers the four week period from May 5 to June 1 and will be released on July 8 (delayed from June 28).

Since Circana (NPD) leaks don't happen nearly as often as it used to and hardware revenue is something we do get, be sure to include revenue in your predictions.

Feel free to also predict what you think the top software games will be for the month.

Example prediction:

[Total Hardware Revenue]

  1. [#1 selling console] XXX,000
  2. [#2 selling console] XXX,000
  3. [#3 selling console] XXX,000

VGChartz US estimates for May 2023:

  1. NS - 451K
  2. PS5 - 275K
  3. XSX|S - 150K

Results:

TLDR:

  • Units: PS5 > NS > XSX|S
  • Revenue: PS5 > XSX|S > NS
  • XS sales up slightly month-over-month, while PS5 and Switch down.

Link to the VGChartz article here.

PS5 Best-Selling Console in the US in May, Ghost of Tsushima Best-Selling Game

The PlayStation 5 was the best-selling console in the US in May 2024 in terms of units sold and dollar sales, according to figures from Circana (formerly The NPD Group). Circana includes the dates for the four week period of May 5 to June 1.

The Nintendo Switch was second best-selling console in terms of units sold, however, it ranked third in terms of dollar sales. This does mean the Xbox Series X|S came in third in terms of units sold, but came in second in terms of dollar sales.

Xbox Series X|S units sales were up slightly compared to April 2024, while the PlayStation 5 and Nintendo both dropped. PlayStation 5 Digital Edition accounted for one-third of PlayStation 5 sales, while the Xbox Series X accounted for just over half of Xbox Series sales.

The PlayStation 5 through its first 43 months is tracking eight percent ahead of the PlayStation 4, while the Xbox Series X|S is behind the Xbox One by 13 percent and is "slightly behind" the Xbox 360.

Overall spending on video games in May was down six percent year-on-year from $4.23 billion to $3.98 billion. Spending on video game content decreased three percent from $3.73 billion to $3.62 billion, while video game hardware sales was down 40 percent from $339 million to $202 million. Spending on accessories decreased eight percent from $161 million to $148 million.

"Projected U.S. total spending on video game hardware, content and accessories fell 6% in May 2024 when compared to a year ago, to $4.0 billion," said Circana Executive Director and Video Game Industry Analyst Mat Piscatella. "Year-to-date 2024 spending was 2% higher than a year ago, at $22.8 billion."

Piscatella added, "May 2024 content spending fell 3% compared to a year ago to $3.6B, as 13% growth in Mobile content spending could not offset a 40% drop in Console content spending."

The PlayStation Portal was the best-selling Accessory of May in terms of dollar sales, as well as for the 2024 year-to-date.

Ghost of Tsushima was the best-selling game of May 2024 in terms of tracked dollar sales. The game saw a boost due to the PC release on Steam. It generated slightly more dollar sales than Paper Mario: The Thousand-Year Door, which debuted in second place. However, Nintendo does not share digital sales.

There were two other new releases in the top 20 with Homeworld 3 debuting in 14th place and F1 24 debuting in 18th place.

Call of Duty: Modern Warfare III remained in third place for May 2024 and is the second best-selling game of 2024 to date. Helldivers 2 dropped two spots to fourth place for May 2024 and remained the best-selling game of 2024 to date.

Here are the top 20 best-selling games in terms of dollars for May 2024:

Here are the top 20 best-selling games in 2024 year-to-date:

Here are the top 10 games played on the PlayStation 5 ranked by monthly active users:

Here are the top 10 games played on the Xbox Series X|S ranked by monthly active users:

Here are the top 10 games played on Steam ranked by monthly active users:

Here are the top 10 best-selling premium games on PlayStation platforms in May 2024:

Here are the top 10 best-selling premium games on Xbox platforms in May 2024:

Here are the top 10 best-selling premium games on Nintendo platforms in May 2024:

Last edited by trunkswd - on 08 July 2024

VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

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Let's say PS5 ~ 260k, NS ~ 120k, XSX ~ 120k (but under the Switch), with the latter two being swapped around for revenue.



 

 

 

 

 

Reminder, May Circana (NPD) drops this coming Friday, so get your predictions in. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

- PS5 - 360K
- NSW - 150K
- XBSX - 150K



My sales comparison threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdown / Historical Showdown / YOY Charts / 140M+ Club Chart

NSW - 235K
PS5 - 225K
X|S - 95K

Difficult for me to decide between NSW and PS5 for #1.

May 2024 to me seems like it'll be a little bummer, with only PS5 likely being able not to lose too much ground compared to May '23 due to decent 3rd party line-up.

I think NSW will drop significantly year-on-year, but still defend #1 slightly.

I'd be suprised if X|S could hold up sales above 100K, even in the US, due to lack of software, GP effects, "Xbox Next" and people awaiting the Xbox Showcase.

Last edited by Panicradio - on 24 June 2024

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PS5 225k
Switch 200k
XBS 125k

Revenue 220m



Please excuse my (probally) poor grammar

When was the sale for the PS5? Was it late May into June or just June?

IF the former than:
PS5 - 350k
SW - 175k
XSX - 100K


I was gonna give Xbox a sub 100k but I feel like there was a sale then too so I might have it too high.



I'm curious to see where Hellblade 2 lands in the US, with sales.
Like we heard it did really poorly in the EU.
Is the same true in the US? Or did it do better compairably there, because xbox is bigger in the US?



PS5 - 240k
NSW - 120k
XB1 - 120k

I'm not sure if xb or switch will come out on top, for the #2 spot, so put them both at 120k.
I think PS5 will do better, like near double that though.



PS5- 370k
Switch- 180k
xbox- 160k