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Forums - Sales Discussion - Global Hardware 21 July 2018

Lonely_Dolphin on 15 August 2018
curl-6 said:
Lonely_Dolphin said:
Would be great if Switch could maintain this 200k/week pace up to Super Mario Party. Currently Switch is at 3m for the fiscal year, so after the 10-11 weeks until October it could be sitting a 5m. I wasn't expecting Switch to hit that until November.

That will be tricky to do; what's going to keep hardware sales over 200k for the next few months?
It's software library of course. Sales in Japan are staying constant, so it's possible 200k is the baseline again like it was for a while earlier in the year despite no major releases.

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0D0 on 15 August 2018

3DS long legs are impressive. I myself still have some games I want to pick up for it. I guess I'll be playing 3DS for more 3 years.



God bless You.

My Total Sales prediction for PS4 by the end of 2021: 110m+

When PS4 will hit 100m consoles sold: Before Christmas 2019

There were three ravens sat on a tree / They were as blacke as they might be / The one of them said to his mate, Where shall we our breakfast take?


curl-6 on 15 August 2018
Lonely_Dolphin said:
curl-6 said:

That will be tricky to do; what's going to keep hardware sales over 200k for the next few months?
It's software library of course. Sales in Japan are staying constant, so it's possible 200k is the baseline again like it was for a while earlier in the year despite no major releases.

Japan is staying consistent, but will the rest of the world, with no major releases for months on end? I doubt it. Evergreens will keep it over 150k, but I can't see it staying above 200k over the next few months.



zorg1000 on 15 August 2018
curl-6 said:
Lonely_Dolphin said:
It's software library of course. Sales in Japan are staying constant, so it's possible 200k is the baseline again like it was for a while earlier in the year despite no major releases.

Japan is staying consistent, but will the rest of the world, with no major releases for months on end? I doubt it. Evergreens will keep it over 150k, but I can't see it staying above 200k over the next few months.

Its not like Japan has had any big sellers these last few weeks yet it has remained stable, i dont see why its unbelievable to think the same could happen for the west.

Switch has ranged between 155-225k for the last 28 weeks with an average of 196k/week. Staying around 200k for the next few weeks doesnt seem unlikely.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

curl-6 on 15 August 2018
zorg1000 said:
curl-6 said:

Japan is staying consistent, but will the rest of the world, with no major releases for months on end? I doubt it. Evergreens will keep it over 150k, but I can't see it staying above 200k over the next few months.

Its not like Japan has had any big sellers these last few weeks yet it has remained stable, i dont see why its unbelievable to think the same could happen for the west.

Switch has ranged between 155-225k for the last 28 weeks with an average of 196k/week. Staying around 200k for the next few weeks doesnt seem unlikely.

That's it though, it's baseline average has been under 200k, why would that baseline now be raised long term?



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zorg1000 on 15 August 2018
curl-6 said:
zorg1000 said:

Its not like Japan has had any big sellers these last few weeks yet it has remained stable, i dont see why its unbelievable to think the same could happen for the west.

Switch has ranged between 155-225k for the last 28 weeks with an average of 196k/week. Staying around 200k for the next few weeks doesnt seem unlikely.

That's it though, it's baseline average has been under 200k, why would that baseline now be raised long term?

Well why has Switch remained at ~50k/week in Japan for the last month without major sellers when it was doing in the mid 30s-low 40s for most of the Spring?

Momentum is high from the really solid & diverse lineup from mid June-mid July. Fortnite, Paladins, Hollow Knight, Mario Tennis, Minecraft, Lego Incredibles, Crash, Wolfenstein, Ys, Octopath, Shining Resonance & Captain Toad all released between June 12-July 14.

Thats a really great lineup for a 5 week stretch and includes games from many genres that appeal to various demographics. That combined with the evergreen titles that keep moving hardware can potentially keep sales stable for the coming weeks.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 on 15 August 2018

Or maybe it will drop below 200k next week, thats possible too.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

curl-6 on 15 August 2018
zorg1000 said:
curl-6 said:

That's it though, it's baseline average has been under 200k, why would that baseline now be raised long term?

Well why has Switch remained at ~50k/week in Japan for the last month without major sellers when it was doing in the mid 30s-low 40s for most of the Spring?

Momentum is high from the really solid & diverse lineup from mid June-mid July. Fortnite, Paladins, Hollow Knight, Mario Tennis, Minecraft, Lego Incredibles, Crash, Wolfenstein, Ys, Octopath, Shining Resonance & Captain Toad all released between June 12-July 14.

Thats a really great lineup for a 5 week stretch and includes games from many genres that appeal to various demographics. That combined with the evergreen titles that keep moving hardware can potentially keep sales stable for the coming weeks.

Japan is one thing, the world is another. Switch jumped up over 200k with the breakout success of Octopath, but that boost won't last forever.



zorg1000 on 15 August 2018
curl-6 said:
zorg1000 said:

Well why has Switch remained at ~50k/week in Japan for the last month without major sellers when it was doing in the mid 30s-low 40s for most of the Spring?

Momentum is high from the really solid & diverse lineup from mid June-mid July. Fortnite, Paladins, Hollow Knight, Mario Tennis, Minecraft, Lego Incredibles, Crash, Wolfenstein, Ys, Octopath, Shining Resonance & Captain Toad all released between June 12-July 14.

Thats a really great lineup for a 5 week stretch and includes games from many genres that appeal to various demographics. That combined with the evergreen titles that keep moving hardware can potentially keep sales stable for the coming weeks.

Japan is one thing, the world is another. Switch jumped up over 200k with the breakout success of Octopath, but that boost won't last forever.

Its been over 200k for 5 of the last 6 weeks, this is only Octopath's 2nd week......how does that work?



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

curl-6 on 15 August 2018
zorg1000 said:
curl-6 said:

Japan is one thing, the world is another. Switch jumped up over 200k with the breakout success of Octopath, but that boost won't last forever.

Its been over 200k for 5 of the last 6 weeks, this is only Octopath's 2nd week......how does that work?

Switch did 168k and 176k the two weeks prior to Octopath

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237172&page=1

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=236988&page=1