There will be 200 thousands Lightning Edition PS3 Bundle，totally the first shipment is 1.8m.

^200K sounds unlikely, got a link for that?

^ Really can you give us a link?

Sorry，there is no original link（i can't find it ），but a text like this：
本体同梱版の数は1〜2万台程度と推測していたのですが
クラウドブラックより少ないのはおかしい等のご指摘を受けましたので
本日もう一度確認を取ったところ20万程度出荷されるようです。

また、ソフト出荷本数も初回を合計と聞き間違えていたようで
正しくは初回に130万本、発売日着に15万本、週末に15万本で160万本
更に本体同梱版を加えると合計で180万本出荷という事になります。
Maybe it was quoted from 2CH BBS.
here is the webmaster’s quotation on the 380th floor.
http://bbs.a9vg.com/read.php?tid=1359931&fpage=&toread=&uid=&page=13

First shipment of a new game is usually equivalent to the first two week expected sales of a given game. 1 million sales of FFXIII in Japan after two weeks. 1.5 million possible ltd sales of FFXIII in Japan. Game sales are usually front loaded in Japan.

http://bbs.a9vg.com/read.php?tid=1359931&fpage=&toread=&uid=&page=13

so this site is reliable?

who are the people saying this?

Yes，the webmaster quoted it.He always broadcast the newest news and do some translations.

The rumor 1 M has already disappeared here，how to believe the first shipment only 1 m in JP.
FF，DQ are national games in JP，no one will happy with the only 1 M first shipment，but MS.

Oh, I imagine would 360 be performing this gen if DQ and FF were exclusive to it in Japan. Maybe it was even ahead of PS3.

excuse me for being skeptical but you just linked to a chinese forum.