WII-65
360- 38
PS3 -34

$100 pricecut is VERY unlikely seeing how expensive ps3 still is to manufacture

http://kotaku.com/5117096/playstation-3-still-selling-at-a-loss-but-a-much-smaller-loss

I lol'd

I know I lowballed my prediction back whenever I made mine, but under 70 million for the Wii is very unrealistic.

why not?

With this economy, i suppose casuals to be the first not to buy a console.

However it's just a bet, not the law ;)

I guess you would think it twice if you were betting real money.

Marketshare wise... the Wii could edge past 53% by the end of 2009... it won't pass 54%.

I don's see too much problem in reaching 65% marketshare, it's way at the high end of my range for what I deem possible, but it is still possible.

The PS3+360 could arguably fall short of 90 million combined (though I see them getting between 95 and 100m) and it's not too much of a stretch for Wii to break 170 million (though I see it more like 160 million)

So there you go, 65% made.... impossible in 2009 for sure, but certainly possible for lifetime.... especially for the leading console, the marketshare increases slower as more sales are added, which seem to go against it considering it only made 6% this whole year... but the leading console will get free reign when the other two die, just as the PS2 is doing now.

I don't trust iSuppli. We have an insider source (aka drkohler lol) here on VGC that says the PS3 costs a lot less than $450 to manufacture - actually $100 less, which supports my price drop perdiction perfectly lol:

http://vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=1562724

Well, the Wii is tracking a good distance ahead of the PS2, which has, what, 130 million now?

So you're basicly saying that a forum user on VGchartz is a better source than one of the biggest companies in the world when it comes to chain valuation and distribution calculation.

Sometimes i wonder if people know who iSuppli is............they're not just an analasies firm.......and not a newspaper.

Not saying they are 100% right but the numbers are propably not to far of, not 100 dollars any way.

I've read drkohlers statment which has no connection to reality. If Arcade was produced at 240 and other on 270 MS game division would show HUGE drops cause SW don't render that much. And do you honestly belive that PS3 is only 100 dollar more expensive to make then Arcade?

Hate to use the word, but his "facts" are just fanboy statement on the subject. I don't know the truth but if one company with only 1 console generates a good amount of money I know that they're not selling an Arcade for 199 dollars when the cost pf production is 240 (then you have to include "other expenses", taxes, VAT and sellers margins which brings it up to around 299) and if the other company has 3 console with 2 of them selling with a good margin, tons of SW sales and still the hole division is truggeling to make profit well that tells me that the third machine have a great cost just on selling.