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Forums - Sales Discussion - So end of 2009?

The 360 is likely to finish with about 28 - 28.5 million.

By the time 2009 is done and dusted does anyone think the 360 can have the figure of 44 million? Surely it will do 40 - 42 by the end of 2009?

With that said can PS3 make at least 30 million by 2009 end?

What are your thoughts.

IMO the 360 can do extremely well for itself. It should easily clear 50 million and possibly clear 60 as well depending on how M$ support it through 2010 and 2011. I predict it could hit 70 million +.



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I predict:

The Wii at 75-80mill

The 360 at 40-45mill

The PS3 at 30 and with a price cut maybe 35mill



    R.I.P Mr Iwata :'(

Mine:

360: - 42M
PS3: - 27M (less than this year. and no price cut. none)
Wii: - 68M (50% market share)



Prediction made on 11/1/2008:

Q4 2008: 27M xbox LTD, 20M PS3 LTD . 2009 sales: 11M xbox,  9M PS3

Hmm I think I was a bit too optimistic with the PS3..



    R.I.P Mr Iwata :'(

Wii: 75-85 million
PS3: 25-28 million
360: 30-35 million



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

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The Wii will have at least 65% market share by the end of 2009.




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wii- 60 mil
ps3 (with price cut)- 37 mil
360 - 40 mil



Kzoellner said:
wii- 60 mil
ps3 (with price cut)- 37 mil
360 - 40 mil

 

 Even ignoring the outlandishness of the PS3 and 360 predictions, your Wii prediction is insane, it'll be around 46 million by end of year, and will defintely sell more than 14 million next year



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

Avinash_Tyagi said:
Kzoellner said:
wii- 60 mil
ps3 (with price cut)- 37 mil
360 - 40 mil

 

 Even ignoring the outlandishness of the PS3 and 360 predictions, your Wii prediction is insane, it'll be around 46 million by end of year, and will defintely sell more than 14 million next year

 

 His 360 predictions seems right, everything else seems a little out of touch though...



Avinash_Tyagi said:
Kzoellner said:
wii- 60 mil
ps3 (with price cut)- 37 mil
360 - 40 mil

 

 Even ignoring the outlandishness of the PS3 and 360 predictions, your Wii prediction is insane, it'll be around 46 million by end of year, and will defintely sell more than 14 million next year

 

And your minimum level for the 360 being 3 million next year doesn't seem outlandish to you?  It sold over 10 million this year, part of that at a higher price point, and you seem to feel that sales are going to plummit for it next year?  Possibly to 3 million?  That seems far more outlandish to me actually.