| retroking1981 said: I think it'll be 26th aug, but i expect the 360 to regain the lead at some point before xmas. Their xmas line up is to strong imo. |
That'll be good for another thread: "Once the Wii takes the lead, will it keep it, and if not, when will it disappear?"
Soon, pretty soon ;)
Nothing's cheaper than something free.
F1 vs FOTA, when too much power is in couple peoples hands.
---------------------------------------------------------------
| albionus said: Week ending August 26th or the 22nd at 3:14 GMT to be precise. |
You are my hero.
PS3: 5.51m/51w, avg 108,039/w (up 239)
360: 12.93m/102w, avg 126,764/w (up 625), leads PS3 by 7.42m (up 70k), avg lead 18,725/w (up 386)
Wii: 13.52m/51w, avg 265,098/w (dn 1,102), leads PS3 by 8.01m (up 90k), avg lead 157,059/w (dn 1,341)
If 360 sales stabilize, PS3 sales increases needed to pass 360 by...
01/08: (008w) +875.8%, 04/08: (021w) +344.4%, 07/08: (034w) +219.3%, 10/08: (047w) +163.5%
01/09: (060w) +131.8%, 04/09: (073w) +111.4%, 07/09: (085w) +098.1%, 10/09: (099w) +086.7%
If Wii sales stabilize, PS3 sales increases needed to pass Wii by...
01/08: (008w) +1072.%, 04/08: (021w) +498.4%, 07/08: (034w) +363.4%, 10/08: (047w) +303.1%
01/09: (060w) +269.0%, 04/09: (073w) +246.9%, 07/09: (085w) +232.6%, 10/09: (099w) +220.3%
If PS2 sales freeze, Wii sales increases needed to pass PS2 (as of Mar07, 108.4m) by...
2008: (008w) +4373.8%, 2009: (060w) +0496.5%, 2010: (112w) +0219.6%, 2011: (165w) +0116.9%
2012: (217w) +0064.9%, 2013: (269w) +0033.1%, 2014: (321w) +0011.5%, 2015: (376w) -0004.8%
At +0% it will pass it in 358w, the week ending September 19th, 2014, at an age of 409w (7y44w).
Current age of PS2: 7y37w.
Last update: Week ending November 3, 2007
Reporting week Aug 12-18. Whichever date of that week that all numbers are reported (should be the 16th).
The rEVOLution is not being televised
August 26th
When a category 5 hurricane hits New york!!!! ioi the numbers arent going to be updated tonight for north america and europe are they?
Down to 410k units from 620k. Doing a EWMA of the last few weeks, it should be 2.3 weeks after current data: August 14-15.
Well now that the data for the week ending July 28th is in I just wanted to point out a few things....
First, currently the difference by VGChartz numbers is 414,644 units. This means that the Wii needs to sell more 207,322 each week to get where the 360 is right now. Now if we take into account the 360's movement we end up with something much more like 262,322 units each week to tie where the 360 will be in two weeks.
Considering the current steadiness of 360 numbers I think those numbers are going to be pretty spot on. So with that in mind I think after the next two week's numbers come in we are going to see Wii behind by 280k after the first week and behind by 50k after the second week. And finally passing the 360 with the numbers for the week ending Aug 19th.
I think there is about a 20% chance the Wii can pass it with Aug 12th numbers, but most of that chance hinges on increased shipments for Mario Strikers Charged which I am not entirely convinced will be the case yet.
 |
| To Each Man, Responsibility |
| Sqrl said: Well now that the data for the week ending July 28th is in I just wanted to point out a few things.... First, currently the difference by VGChartz numbers is 414,644 units. This means that the Wii needs to sell more 207,322 each week to get where the 360 is right now. Now if we take into account the 360's movement we end up with something much more like 262,322 units each week to tie where the 360 will be in two weeks. Considering the current steadiness of 360 numbers I think those numbers are going to be pretty spot on. So with that in mind I think after the next two week's numbers come in we are going to see Wii behind by 280k after the first week and behind by 50k after the second week. And finally passing the 360 with the numbers for the week ending Aug 19th. I think there is about a 20% chance the Wii can pass it with Aug 12th numbers, but most of that chance hinges on increased shipments for Mario Strikers Charged which I am not entirely convinced will be the case yet. |
I worked out the numbers (in that other thread) a few weeks back, and there was very little doubt about the date. If the 360 has a stinker, or the Wii gets another boost to shipments - slight chance of the 12th. But considering the holidays in Japan are over(?), Wii sales should return to normal.
And Madden hitting in 2 weeks should help the 360 (more than the Wii).
Gesta Non Verba
Nocturnal is helping companies get cheaper game ratings in Australia:
Wii code: 2263 4706 2910 1099
About Us |
Terms of Use |
Privacy Policy |
Advertise |
Staff |
Contact
Display As Desktop
Display As Mobile
© 2006-2024 VGChartz Ltd. All rights reserved.
