42-43m based upon installed base at the end of Jun before production was increased to 2.4m.

At 85 weeks = 29.17m by VGC

2.4m x 6months = 14.4m max production through the end of 2008

Total would be 43.57m

That's assuming 100% sell through for the back end of 2008.

Nintendo projects to ship 51m units by the end of Mar 2009.

2.4m x 3 months = 7.2m

Add Q1 2009 production to 43.57m and...

Big surprise: about 51m by the end of Mar 2009.

Can't sell 50m units when there won't be that many Wiis in existence by the end of 2008.

Unless random Wii's start coming from the sky there won't be enough to make it...

20 mil consoles in 4 months? Won't happen.

I think the 50 million number comes from the fiscal year's end numbers.

Whatever Nintendo predicted it would sell by January 1st, it'll sell about 3 million more than that.

it would have to sell another...18 to 20 million in order to reach 50 million. a better question would be, will it hit 45 million.

no way, at much it will go 40 million. anything over 45 is crazy.

...Hellz NO, 44 at MAXIMUM, My prediction 39 million

no it would have to sell over a million a week there is like 14 weeks so 14 weeks times a million is 14 million more still wouldnt reach it.

i just realized.. it would require to wii to outsell ps3s lifetime sales in 4 months to make this happen.. alternatively, it'll require the wii to nearly equal 360s lifetime sales in 4 months