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42-43m based upon installed base at the end of Jun before production was increased to 2.4m.

At 85 weeks = 29.17m by VGC

2.4m x 6months = 14.4m max production through the end of 2008

Total would be 43.57m

That's assuming 100% sell through for the back end of 2008.

Nintendo projects to ship 51m units by the end of Mar 2009.

2.4m x 3 months = 7.2m

Add Q1 2009 production to 43.57m and...

Big surprise: about 51m by the end of Mar 2009.

Can't sell 50m units when there won't be that many Wiis in existence by the end of 2008.