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Forums - Sales - When will Wii surpass 360 (if ever)?

While there's a lot of talk recently about the Wii stalling out with the traditional gamer set in light of the current software drought, we all know those games are coming this year (Mario, Metroid, No More Heroes, RE, etc, etc.) What I think is much more crucial to the Wii's long-term success, and maintaining its momentum, us coming out with games that appeal to the mainstream non-gamer other than Wii Sports. When/where is the Wii's Nintendogs, Brain Age, etc? Does WarioWare count in this category? I'm sure Nintendo has to be cooking up an exercise/coordination game along the lines of Brain Age... those are what will solidify the Wii as a generation-dominator.



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I assume that Wii Health Pack and Wii Music are being developed to drive the console in this general direction. Nintendo's strategy seems to be to spread out as wide a net as possible by providing software that should interest different facets of the general public. So far it appears to have worked quite well for the DS. I expect that the arrival of the "Demo Channel", as some are calling it, should provide a bit of a boost with the traditional gamers as well. The next several months should be interesting. Who knows, a surprise title or two might find its way to the console.



"Demo channel?" I highly doubt we'll see downloadable demos of Wii games: there's no the storage. OTOH, a "DS Demo" channel seems like a no-brainer, and would itself drive sales like mad.



I doubt that Demo Channel would be the official title, but there has been some hinting that there will be a channel which would allow use of the Wii's hardware capabilities by smaller developers, in a manner similar to the XBox Arcade. More likely it would need to be able to execute from the SD flash storage, or possibly a USB external drive, since 512MB isn't that large. My guess would be the SD flash. A channel for downloading DS demos would be an interesting idea though, I wouldn't be surprised to see that happen.



My guess is that the Wii is going to hit it big with the baby boomer generation, due to the more accessible gameplay of its titles. While the baby boomers are old enough that they do not tend to intersect the typical gaming market, their numbers do consist of a large segment of the US population (around one quarter of it by most accounts.) They're also heading towards retirement age, and will be spending a reasonable part of their retirement funds on entertainment. The timing is basically perfect for Nintendo, and a similar situation exists in Japan - albeit for a different reason.
If Nintendo could pull it off with the Wii Health Pack(or Wii Music), prepare to watch the Wii dominate at least as much as the DS is dominating now, especially in Japan.
What I think is much more crucial to the Wii's long-term success, and maintaining its momentum, us coming out with games that appeal to the mainstream non-gamer other than Wii Sports. When/where is the Wii's Nintendogs, Brain Age, etc? Does WarioWare count in this category? I'm sure Nintendo has to be cooking up an exercise/coordination game along the lines of Brain Age... those are what will solidify the Wii as a generation-dominator.
Pulling in the casuals and non-gamers is just phase one of Nintendo's strategy. They want to build the install base, and Nintendo believes that once the userbase is there, the software support will come. Remember, the Wii is being marketed as the console for everyone, including the hardcore gamers.
When/where is the Wii's Nintendogs, Brain Age, etc? Does WarioWare count in this category?
It's been packed in with the console since launch in North America and Europe, and is the number one reason why the Wii is still nowhere to be found in store shelves three months after launch, even after more than 4 million consoles have been shipped.
"Demo channel?" I highly doubt we'll see downloadable demos of Wii games: there's no the storage. OTOH, a "DS Demo" channel seems like a no-brainer, and would itself drive sales like mad.
I've heard that Nintendo said that external harddrives would be supported, and like baka said, the hardcores will eat it up, and it just so happens that they are also more likely to buy a third party external harddrive or an official Nintendo one. The DS demo channel should be a great way to capitalize on the DS' success and I think Nintendo would be stupid enough to not do this.



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robjoh said: DIAR said: I for one hope the Wii will never take out the 360, I am hoping that it will slowdown this year and fall into 3rd. If the Wii wins that means a rollback in power and that whole motion thing next time...or to me the death of games as if that happens after 20 years being a gamer I am done and blame the big N for it! I pray the Wii dies a horrible painful death and the world wakes up to see how big a pile of crap it is! FYI, VG's numbers are wrong as even wikipedia doesn't back them up! The 360 is above 10 million and the wii should be below 4 or slightly above. The PS3 numbers are wrong too as they should be around 1.3 and 1.8. Actuly Xbox360 is lower than 10 million but they have shipped (not sold) more than 10. Wikipedia is not a traking firm. Looking into NPD and we actuly have even lower numbers than vgcharts, so no you are wrong. I personally hope that Wii will sell better than GameCube at least, because most probarbly it will be my only machine. I can't say if the Wii number is to high ot to low, but what we know is: 1.1 milions in USA alone (until december), 1.5+ in Japan. Then we have another 700k in EU until december. Assuming ~500k in USA during januari and another ~200k in EU. Will get us to around 4 million so yes it might be a little high, but I don't know depends on nintendos shipments to EU. Might be more than 200k, mayby even what USA and Japan gets, but I doubt it. I personally have problem to see that the Wii will slow down before 10 millions by the simple fact that Nintendo have shown a good line up of hardcore nintendo fans line up, which will probarbly lead the sale in USA. In Japan is Wii sport leading to a lot of sales and Wii will probarbly sell more than GC. After that who knows... The PS3 numbers is around 1.8 so I dont know what you are talking about there.
I am right, I checked NPD and they have the 360 selling 1.1 million in December of 2006 alone, the Wii sold 1.1 million since launch in North America. So no, I am indeed right.



I am right, I checked NPD and they have the 360 selling 1.1 million in December of 2006 alone, the Wii sold 1.1 million since launch in North America. So no, I am indeed right.
This is true, it sold 1.1m units from November 19th until the end of December - right behind the PS2 at 1.4m and the Nintendo DS, at 1.6m. What is equally interesting is that there were and are still plenty of Xbox 360 systems available. Supply of the 360 has oversaturated demand. The other two consoles sold out initially, as they were both launched in November, with only Sony able to bring sufficient consoles to meet demand around the end of the holiday season. Quite literally by airlifting them. Any comparison at this point is flawed, because the two sets of circumstances are not directly comparable. They cannot be extrapolated to typical sales figures. Once all three consoles are generally available outside of scalpers reselling them, these figures will be obtainable.



I thought it already did..



pichu_pichu said:
I thought it already did..

 WTF kind of bump is this?  Seems pretty close to spamming if you ask me.



super_etecoon said:
pichu_pichu said:
I thought it already did..

WTF kind of bump is this? Seems pretty close to spamming if you ask me.


 How the wii is betean it in ww sales.