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Forums - Sony - Final Fantasy XIII sales prediction

@sc like brute say the PS2 userbase was more than the double than PS3 userbase now.



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brute said:
http://vgchartz.com/japweekly.php?date=37094&console=&maker=&disp=American+Name&boxartz=1
ps2's user base was 5 million at the time,and i think it will only launch in japan first so it has no shot at over 2 million

 

 That's what a lot of people said about MGS4 making 500k... just thought I'd throw that out there.... also we may still have a year and a half of sales left before we even see this game... 4 mil user base isnt out of the question.



brute said:
http://vgchartz.com/japweekly.php?date=37094&console=&maker=&disp=American+Name&boxartz=1
ps2's user base was 5 million at the time,and i think it will only launch in japan first so it has no shot at over 2 million

Correct, but how much do you think it will sell in japan first week. The ps3 will most likley be between 3-4mln by the earliest FFXIII could be released. Now if 2million/5 million ps2 owners bought the game, lets just say the most it should have in japan is about 1.3mln on an install base of 3.5 mln ps3s. Now that is only japan. Others will be alot bigger than it was on the ps2, and so will be america. Final Fantasy is a very front loaded series and usually sells 80-90% of its total sales the first few weeks.  So first week sales should be I guess about 2/3rds of total sales. So 2mln world wide is far too low. If it does about 1 mln in japan, it will most likely do 1 mln in the U.S. This isn't counting others which will be at least a few 100k. That is well over 2mln first week.



MANUELF said:
@sc like brute say the PS2 userbase was more than the double than PS3 userbase now.

Is the game releasing now? No  I think square will compensate with better U.S sales and maybe better others sales. Read my other post if you want to know in details why it will sell well over 2 mln first week worldwide.

 



^also the series has been slowing down,FFXII sold less with a bigger userbase



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Don't think I could answer this til I have a concrete release date or timeframe. Otherwise just a guess in the dark.



brute said:
^also the series has been slowing down,FFXII sold less with a bigger userbase

Well if you notice there is a trend.

FFVII>FFVIII>FFIX     then it went FFX>FFXII. The first final fantasy always sells best because the series is usually hyped out to be the best thing ever when in reality its not. Also FFXII was a horrible game and deserved much less sales than what it got.(imo)

 



5.3-6.2 million LT worldwide
Japan: 1.3-1.7M
US: 2.5-2.7M
EU/Others: 1.5-1.8



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--Predictions--
1) WiiFit will outsell the pokemans.
  Current Status: 2009.01.10 70k till PKMN Yellow (Passed: Emerald, Crystal, FR/LG)

Japan think it will do 1.2 mill first week.

Us 800k

Others 600k

Combined ww-2.6 first week, lifetime 6-7 mill.



 

I'm going to say.

1.7 million in Japan

700K in US

700K in Europe


so, that in total is around 3 million



Soriku (Feb 10/08): In 5 years the PS3/360 will be dead.

KH3 bet: "If KH3 comes to Wii exclusive, I will take a 1 month of sig/avatar by otheres open a thread apologize and praise you guys' brilliance." http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?start=50&id=18379
Original cast: Badonkadonkhr, sc94597 allaboutthegames885, kingofwale, Soriku, ctk495, skeezer, RDBRaptor, Mirson,

Episode 1: OOPSY!
selnor
: Too Human I even expect 3-4 mill entire life and 500,000 first day. GoW2 ( expect 7 - 9 million entire life and over 2 mill first day), Fable 2 (expect 5-6 million entire life and 1.5 mill fist day) BK3 (expect 4 - 5 mill sales entire life and 1 mill first day).. Tales/IU/TLR should get to 2 or 3 million! post id: 868878
Episode 2:
Letsdance: FFXIII (PS3+360) first week in NA = 286K
According to pre-order rate in week 13 (post id: 2902544)