360 sales are higher than expected, as are PS3. I only really expected PS3 to pull away in weekly sales after mgs
360 sales are higher than expected, as are PS3. I only really expected PS3 to pull away in weekly sales after mgs
The Wii domination is bigger than I tought it would be.
Predictions: 2008/2009
Wii 42-45 M / 71-75M
X360 24-26M / 38-40M
PS3 20-21 M / 30-34M
the wii might sell 30 million this year.
Next Gen
| 11/20/09 04:25 | makingmusic476 | Warning | Other (Your avatar is borderline NSFW. Please keep it for as long as possible.) |
I'll stick with mine for now (made in December last year), allthough a couple of them will probably need adjustment or flat out scrapping... 
The biggest surprise for me is PSP. Didn't think it would stay above DS for this long in Japan. Probably a 50-50 shot it outsells DS in Japan right now, with both in the 3.5 million-4.5 million range.
This is how year over year trends look through the first 17 weeks of 2007 vs. 2008 (J-A means January to April). Change/17 is weekly change worldwide.
| Totals | 2008 J-A | 2007 J-A | % Change | Unit Change | Change/17 |
| DS | 6,870,052 | 7,013,010 | 0.9796153 | -142,958 | -8,409 |
| Wii | 5,551,023 | 3,713,887 | 1.4946666 | 1,837,136 | 108,067 |
| PSP | 3,857,395 | 2,518,792 | 1.5314464 | 1,338,603 | 78,741 |
| PS3 | 3,225,862 | 1,927,687 | 1.6734366 | 1,298,175 | 76,363 |
| Xbox 360 | 2,424,960 | 1,698,496 | 1.4277102 | 726,464 | 42,733 |
| PS2 | 2,396,159 | 2,444,000 | 0.9804251 | -47,841 | -2,814 |
| Americas | 2008 J-A | 2007 J-A | % Change | Unit Change | Change/17 |
| DS | 2,413,969 | 2,069,073 | 1.1666911 | 344,896 | 20,288 |
| Wii | 2,120,304 | 1,447,103 | 1.465206 | 673,201 | 39,600 |
| PSP | 1,216,257 | 822,965 | 1.4778964 | 393,292 | 23,135 |
| PS3 | 1,209,164 | 628,017 | 1.9253683 | 581,147 | 34,185 |
| Xbox 360 | 1,226,168 | 970,149 | 1.2638966 | 256,019 | 15,060 |
| PS2 | 1,131,089 | 1,168,467 | 0.9680111 | -37,378 | -2,199 |
| Others | 2008 J-A | 2007 J-A | % Change | Unit Change | Change/17 |
| DS | 3,183,702 | 2,336,768 | 1.3624382 | 846,934 | 49,820 |
| Wii | 2,175,232 | 958,595 | 2.2691877 | 1,216,637 | 71,567 |
| PSP | 1,149,218 | 881,913 | 1.3030968 | 267,305 | 15,724 |
| PS3 | 1,631,267 | 881,132 | 1.851331 | 750,135 | 44,126 |
| Xbox 360 | 1,139,169 | 633,478 | 1.7982771 | 505,691 | 29,747 |
| PS2 | 1,064,870 | 961,863 | 1.1070911 | 103,007 | 6,059 |
| Japan | 2008 J-A | 2007 J-A | % Change | Unit Change | Change/17 |
| DS | 1,272,381 | 2,607,169 | 0.4880317 | -1,334,788 | -78,517 |
| Wii | 1,255,487 | 1,308,189 | 0.9597138 | -52,702 | -3,100 |
| PSP | 1,491,920 | 813,914 | 1.8330192 | 678,006 | 39,883 |
| PS3 | 385,431 | 418,538 | 0.9208985 | -33,107 | -1,947 |
| Xbox 360 | 59,623 | 94,869 | 0.6284772 | -35,246 | -2,073 |
| PS2 | 200,200 | 313,670 | 0.6382504 | -113,470 | -6,675 |
| Jan-April 08' | Total | Americas | Others | Japan |
| DS | 6,870,052 | 2,413,969 | 3,183,702 | 1,272,381 |
| Wii | 5,551,023 | 2,120,304 | 2,175,232 | 1,255,487 |
| PSP | 3,857,395 | 1,216,257 | 1,149,218 | 1,491,920 |
| PS3 | 3,225,862 | 1,209,164 | 1,631,267 | 385,431 |
| Xbox 360 | 2,424,960 | 1,226,168 | 1,139,169 | 59,623 |
| PS2 | 2,396,159 | 1,131,089 | 1,064,870 | 200,200 |
| Jan-April 07' | Total | Americas | Others | Japan |
| DS | 7,013,010 | 2,069,073 | 2,336,768 | 2,607,169 |
| Wii | 3,713,887 | 1,447,103 | 958,595 | 1,308,189 |
| PSP | 2,518,792 | 822,965 | 881,913 | 813,914 |
| PS3 | 1,927,687 | 628,017 | 881,132 | 418,538 |
| Xbox 360 | 1,698,496 | 970,149 | 633,478 | 94,869 |
| PS2 | 2,444,000 | 1,168,467 | 961,863 | 313,670 |
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
@TheSource
WOW great analysis..
won't DQIX completely change things though...
also what are your new estimates then..
expected :
X360 = 8 m
PS3 = 8 m
Wii = 17 m
Now:
X360 = 10 m
PS3 = 15 m
Wii = 22 m


geez the source... do you make that up on the fly or do you have charts pre done already.
slimbeast needs to come in here. He has some rediculous predictions.