I concede, @firebush03 You are smarter and a better man all round than I.

I respect the concession, Legit. Honorable move.

(p.s. I think my tone in the previous message was a little bit too aggressive… sorry about that.)

There's plenty of predictions that Switch 2 will have a hard time due to chip shortages or that sales will fall off a cliff. I think that's a terrible prediction because Nintendo should have locked in contracts for parts just before Switch 2 came out. And by 2-3 years' time when the AI bubble, that causes a parts shortage, pops Nintendo's contracts will run out and things will be fine.

A lot of idiots on the greater internet seem to think that Nintendo consoles go in boom/bust cycles. Wii was successful. Wii U Bombed. Switch was successful. Therefore Switch 2 bombs.

Oh, and as a day 1 DS owner I have never stopped laughing at the old DS vs PSP threads. PSP was awesome but it built it's own audience more than it took from the DS line's sales. Vita was okayish, but honestly 3DS was always going to stomp it.

I predicted that Nintendo Switch would fail like the Wii U.

I'm sure Nintendo have contracts for chips but how many did they order and for how many consoles? They wouldn't want to order a huge amount of RAM and NAND chips if the console failed and they would only want to order enough for a relatively short time I would of thought. It's going to be a challenge for Nintendo surely unless they had the foresight to order a huge amount. I feel like we will see price increases for Switch 2 between March and May. Probably after April, they might resist price increases in this fiscal year. They already may have locked in a price early so there is a first increase of a small amount and then later in the year a bigger increase in the retail price when they are hit with a really high increase. Reading elsewhere the chip makes have been reducing contract numbers so they can provide for the most lucrative market, AI servers. So Nintendo may have been forced to take a smaller amount than they wanted. Hopefully this AI bubble will burst next year and pricing will start getting more reasonable again. However this year is going to be bad for many computer and console firms.

I thought the Wii U would be successful.

Switch 2 was always bomb proof IMO. Worst case scenario they only sell 50 million. It would make sense for Nintendo to order at least that many parts on a drawn out contract. 

Not aggressive at all, ya were only tickling me. I'm happy to be wrong here, good for Nintendo and good for gaming. 

One I don't see in the comments yet is how so many predicted Splatoon would would bomb harder than The Wonderful 101 - only for Nintendo apologizing for not producing enough copies of the game and it being in the top 10 bestselling games on Famitsu for 50 weeks straight.

I got one shortly after Mario Kart 8 launched. I thought a turnaround was still possible but didn't think it could outsell SNES for instance. It took me until around early 2015 after Smash launched and Mario Kart 8 had been out for months to realize it probably wouldn't even outsell GameCube. And it obviously fell quite short even of GameCube. 

I was pessimistic with Switch after that, thinking there was a chance it might only outsell NES.