December Circana (NPD) 2023 Thread + Predictions

hellobion2

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hellobion2 on 04 January 2024

I predict the PS5 will outperform everything with the Switch 2 right behind.

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PortisheadBiscuit on 04 January 2024

PS5 1.4m
Xbox 850k
Switch 800k

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DonFerrari on 04 January 2024

I will be aggressive here and go PS5 2M, Switch 900k and Series 850k.

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Shtinamin_ on 04 January 2024

Total Hardware Revenue
Revenue 1,500M

Total Hardware Units
#1 PS5 1,860K
#2 Nintendo Switch 1,140K
#3 Xbox Series X/S 1,010K

Lifetime Sales Predictions

Switch: 160 million (was 120 million, then 140 million, then 150 million)

PS5: 130 million (was 124 million)

Xbox Series X/S: 54 million (was 60 million, then 57 million)

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trunkswd on 17 January 2024

Circana (NPD) drops tomorrow, so get your last minute predictions in.

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Zippy6 on 18 January 2024

Results are out. The highest hardware revenue ever for Sony in one month in the USA.

#1 - PlayStation, #2 - Switch, #3 - Xbox

PlayStation and Xbox both have higher hardware revenue than last year, Switch declined in "double digits".

Dollar sales of Sony video game hardware set a new 1-month record for the manufacturer, beating the previous Sony high set in December 2022.
— Mat Piscatella (@MatPiscatella) January 18, 2024

Console Launch Aligned Sales Charts

Famitsu Sales Database

VGChartz Monthly Sales Database

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NightF0x73 on 18 January 2024

Zippy6 said:

Results are out. The highest hardware revenue ever for Sony in one month in the USA.

#1 - PlayStation, #2 - Switch, #3 - Xbox

PlayStation and Xbox both have higher hardware revenue than last year, Switch declined in "double digits".

Dollar sales of Sony video game hardware set a new 1-month record for the manufacturer, beating the previous Sony high set in December 2022.
— Mat Piscatella (@MatPiscatella) January 18, 2024

Does this mean Xbox sell more consoles than last year due to the discounts on both models?

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UnderwaterFunktown on 18 January 2024

I don't think anybody didn't expect a "double-digits" drop for the Switch, but the Xbox growth is suprising. Since the Switch is still ahead in dollar sales there should still be a notable gap between the two though, and PS5 is obviously way ahead.

The most important takeaway, however, is that I was spot on with my revenue prediction!
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trunkswd on 18 January 2024

Late addition to the thread - Xbox Series set a new lifetime high in U.S. unit sales during the month of December. The previous unit sales high for Xbox Series was set in December 2021. Shout out to @Welfare_JBP for the question.
— Mat Piscatella (@MatPiscatella) January 18, 2024

XBS and PS5 both up double-digit % in Dec units vs YA, Switch down double-digit %.
— Mat Piscatella (@MatPiscatella) January 18, 2024

Xbox Series X|S had its best-selling December in the US to date. And PS5 also had its best December yet. PS5 and XS unit sales up by digit percentages, while Switch is down by double digit percentages.

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trunkswd on 18 January 2024

OP updated with the VGChartz breakdown of the numbers from Mat.

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Forums - Sales Discussion - December Circana (NPD) 2023 Thread + Predictions

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