Hmm, let's see how good well the community predicted (actual nominations bolded):
So, *everyone* got Zelda, BG3 and Spiderman. Mario Wonder follows not too far behind, the least likely titles in the community opinion were RE4 and Alan Wake. The most often named titles that didn't make it were Starfield, FF XVI and Street Fighter (in that order). But even the least often named actually nominated title Alan Wake has more confidence than these. So I would say pretty good predictions.
Anyone wondering about the half-point shenanigans: a few were for one spot saying "this or that", then I gave each half a point.
Alan Wake was the biggest surprise on that list to be honest. Not doubting it’s good because I am looking forward to playing it, but just thought they’d go with a game that had been out longer. Either way, really happy to see Remedy on a GOTY nominee list again. :) Still not expecting a win for GOTY though.