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Forums - Nintendo - The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom Lifetime Sales

 

How Much Do You Predict for Lifetime Sales of Tears of the Kingdom?

Under 15 million 38 5.36%
 
15-18 Million 24 3.39%
 
18-21 Million 49 6.91%
 
21-24 Million 84 11.85%
 
24-27 Million 102 14.39%
 
27-30 MIllion 127 17.91%
 
30-33 Million 82 11.57%
 
Over 33 Million 203 28.63%
 
Total:709
axumblade on 25 May 2023
mk7sx said:

What is the timeframe cutoff? 10 years from now?

>45,000,000

I’d say the timeframe cutoff is the end of Switch era (which games will still sell for a bit after the Switch ends production). If we had some confirmation of a new Nintendo system having ToTK, I think 45 would be easily attainable. 



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Shiken on 25 May 2023
pikashoe said:

One thing people are not taking into account is that this is a very tik tok friendly game which could have a positive effect on sales.

Correct, do not underestimate the power of meme culture.  It has a much bigger social media presence than BotW did, and that says a lot.



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CaptainExplosion on 26 May 2023

I think 15 million at best, because it's late in the Switch's lifecycle and I have a feeling the Switch successor will be out next year.



Kakadu18 on 26 May 2023
CaptainExplosion said:

I think 15 million at best, because it's late in the Switch's lifecycle and I have a feeling the Switch successor will be out next year.

It's gonna be at 15mil before this quarter ends.

Last edited by Kakadu18 - on 26 May 2023

IcaroRibeiro on 26 May 2023

18-21 but only because I think there will be a Switch 2 version that will sell another 20 million lol



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CaptainExplosion on 26 May 2023
Kakadu18 said:
CaptainExplosion said:

I think 15 million at best, because it's late in the Switch's lifecycle and I have a feeling the Switch successor will be out next year.

It's gonna at 15mil before this quarter ends.

Point taken.



Wyrdness on 26 May 2023

Going by the sales of games that have sold as comparably fast on the Switch it's very possible TOTK could be around or past 20m by the end of the quarter.



Machina on 26 May 2023

I plumped for the 27-30 million range. That's on Switch alone, though I fully expect a port to Nintendo's next console at launch - how well that does is really hard to predict so I won't even try xD



tsogud on 27 May 2023

If the next gen Switch has backwards compatibility or a "deluxe" version I could def see it going 40m. If not I'd say 25m.



 

Slownenberg on 27 May 2023

I find it funny that over 10% of people have voted 18-21 million or LESS!! haha.

It sold 10 million in three days! Ya gotta figure it probably hit 12m on the second week, and be at 15 million by end of this quarter, certainly 20m by end of the year, and maybe much sooner than that. And that gives it a bunch of months still to sell above 20m before next gen even starts.