So it appears that Iran has decided to start shooting their hypersonic missiles at Israel. This is going to greatly go against Trump and his statement that they have destroyed 90% of Iran capabilities and that their are no more targets to hit as they struck Israel for a sustained 3 hours. I believe we are going to see some pivots from the US soon about what is happening within this war.

One of the narratives have been that Iran shooting missiles were decreased so much that US has destroyed a good deal of their capabilities. From what reports are saying, it appears that the US and Israel underestimated what Iran was doing. The first wave, they sent their old munitions to look for weak points in the US Israel missile defenses and deplete US and Israel interceptors. Now that they have probed the defenses and exhausted the defense, now Iran is sending their real munitions which has penetrated Israel defenses and is causing a lot of damage. These bigger faster missiles are the real threat and is where the war starts to get very dangerous. Even now, the US isn't willing to send any of their ships within a 1000 miles of Iran because that threat they said wasn't there is still very much there.

Yeah as predicted. The 12 day June war was 12 days because that's when the stock of interceptors ran critically low. We're now on day 13, Iran has much more freedom of the skies and is now moving on from their 20 year old arsenal to more modern and bigger missiles. 


Meanwhile

Iran war, energy shock one of the "worst crises in decades," says John Kerry

Former US Secretary of State John Kerry said that the energy shock resulting from the United States and Israel’s war with Iran is one of the worst global crises in decades.

“It’s very dangerous,” Kerry told CNN’s Max Foster Thursday at the Sustainable Markets Initiative summit in London. “I hope diplomacy will re-enter in a very forceful way in the next days… It’s incredibly important for the world that folks find an off-ramp here.”

Kerry said the crisis was one of the worst in decades and could get “even more out of control.” “You’ve seen what’s happened to (energy) prices – that will flow down into everybody’s economy if it goes on too long,” he said.

Having worked closely with the Iranians during the negotiations by the Obama administration which led to the 2015 nuclear deal, Kerry warned that Tehran could drag the conflict out, inflicting further economic pain. “No one should underestimate Iran’s capacity to conduct asymmetrical warfare. They’ve proven it previously. They are practised at it,” he said. “I just don’t know to what degree – if at all – those considerations were taken into account here in the (Trump administration’s) decision-making.”

Shortly after CNN’s interview with Kerry, Iran’s new supreme leader, Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, said the Strait of Hormuz – through which around a fifth of the world’s oil ordinarily flows – would remain closed, putting further upward pressure on energy prices.

Kerry said the crisis could underscore the importance of “energy independence – of not being held hostage to other people’s choices,” as with the oil shock of 1973. “I think this will remind people and perhaps speed up some of the transition in energy,” he said.

Trump's response:

Trump says rising oil prices make the US money

President Donald Trump has said that when oil prices go up, the US makes money. “The United States is the largest Oil Producer in the World, by far, so when oil prices go up, we make a lot of money”, he wrote in a Truth Social post.

He added that of “greater interest and importance” is stopping Iran from having nuclear weapons and “destroying the Middle East and, indeed, the world.”

That last part is indeed Trump/Netanyahu's goal. 

Fun fact Americans seems to be totally unaware of:

Since the war started, Iran has been increasing its oil exports at the Strait of Hormuz. Shadow tankers (Chinese owned tankers operating under weird flags) have continuously loaded Iranian oil and sailed east. Apparently the tankers use short-wave radio transmissions to communicate with Iranians that "we are the good guys, don't shoot"...

Yep, 

Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Majid Takht-Ravanchi told the AFP News Agency that Iran has allowed ships from some countries to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. “Some countries have already talked to us about passing the strait, and we have cooperated with them,” he said during an interview in Tehran. “As far as Iran is concerned, we feel that those countries that joined the aggression should not benefit from safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz.”


Some other ships are getting through as well changing their destination to China. I guess those are the shadow tankers.

https://www.sfgate.com/news/world/article/ships-identify-themselves-as-chinese-around-22072409.php

Saudi Arabia is scaling up the use of their pipelines to pump oil to the other side, so it's not a total blockade.
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/12/strait-of-hormuz-oil-pipelines-iran-war-saudi-arabia-uae.html

Still over 2/3rds of what flowed through the straight (total 20-21 million barrels per day) is not getting out. And food isn't coming in to the gulf states. A lot more than oil went through the straight.


And people are leaving

Bloomberg tells Gulf employees that they can leave the region

Bloomberg has told employees based in the Gulf region that they can temporarily relocate and work from outside the region, a company spokesperson told Reuters news agency.

US arranges nearly 50 charter flights from the Middle East: State Department

The Trump administration says it has organised almost 50 flights to return US citizens from the Middle East since the start of the US-Israel war with Iran.

“By the end of today, we’ll have completed approximately four dozen flights and safely evacuated thousands of Americans from the Middle East on those flights,” a State Department official said.

TotalEnergies set to lose 15 percent of global production due to conflict

French oil giant TotalEnergies said it will lose 15 percent of its global production due to shutdowns in the Middle East relating to the ongoing conflict.

In a statement on its investor website, the firm said it has shut down, or is in the process of shutting down, its production in Qatar, Iraq and offshore United Arab Emirates due to the crisis.

TotalEnergies also said that a higher oil price, which has occurred as a consequence of the conflict, would more than offset the loss of production in the Middle East.

Don't worry, the billionaires and mega corporation's bottom line will be fine!

Oh wow from what I am reading above it seems that this war is going a lot longer than planned.

Remember, the Korean War was as a viewed and called a "police action."

One that last 3 years...

It's well within the realm the possibility that this Operation could drag on far, FAR longer than intended.

The Korean War is technically still ongoing. It’s not a “hot” war like it was during the war proper, but there was never any kind of armistice between the Koreas. 

Technically there is an armistice, but it's not signed by South Korea, so it ain't worth much - but it's an armistice of some kind. Needless to say, there's no peace treaty though.

AIPAC Is Spending Millions to Shape These Elections

“[AIPAC is] literally going every route possible to make sure that they can buy this election… This is one of the most working class districts we have in the state and at the same time, billionaires at AIPAC are literally trying to buy the seat."

In this ‘Mehdi Unfiltered’ panel, Mehdi Hasan sits down with three pro-Palestinian candidates from the Chicago area, as they pull back the curtain on AIPAC affiliates and donors who have spent over $13 million in pushing their preferred candidates in congressional primaries in Illinois.

The panel includes former Zeteo contributor and journalist Kat Abughazaleh, tech entrepreneur Junaid Ahmed and State Senator Robert Peters. In the panel, they discuss the pro-Israeli lobby’s influence on elections, US-Israeli war in Iran, recent controversies, regrets and military aid to Israel.