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Forums - Sales Discussion - Sell-through expectations for the PlayStation 5 in 2023?

 

Sell-through expectations for the PlayStation 5 in 2023?

Less than 12 million 56 8.22%
 
12.0 - 13.9 million 29 4.26%
 
14.0 - 15.9 million 73 10.72%
 
16.0 - 17.9 million 100 14.68%
 
18.0 - 19.9 million 142 20.85%
 
20.0 - 21.9 million 116 17.03%
 
22.0 - 23.9 million 49 7.20%
 
24.0 - 25.9 million 28 4.11%
 
26.0 - 28.0 million 11 1.62%
 
More than 28 million 77 11.31%
 
Total:681
PotentHerbs on 15 January 2023

LiquidLaser out here trolling lol. Just can't quite match the legend, TheDrill, though.



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Kakadu18 on 15 January 2023
curl-6 said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:

Under 12M. A lot under 12M. 2022 was the peak year for PS5 sales.

Why would it peak while supply is constrained and there are hardly any exclusives, then decline once supply improves and big games start to come out that you can't play on last gen?

There is no logic or thought behind his predictions.



RolStoppable on 16 January 2023

An unusually high amount of throw-away votes have been casted here. A bit over 20% go to the lowest and highest option which are essentially there to weed out the jokers/trolls.

Less surprising is the winning poll option. The general expectation is that Sony will be able to ramp up supply considerably at some point in 2023 and reach the heights of the best PS4 years.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV will outsell Super Smash Bros. Brawl. I was wrong.

The_Liquid_Laser on 25 January 2023
curl-6 said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:

Under 12M. A lot under 12M. 2022 was the peak year for PS5 sales.

Why would it peak while supply is constrained and there are hardly any exclusives, then decline once supply improves and big games start to come out that you can't play on last gen?

I think you forgot the original reason for our bet.  The PS5 is competing with the Switch.  I have said this to you personally more times than I can count.  Every hardware sale that the Switch makes above 3DS + Wii U levels is a sale taken away from Playstation + XBox.

I am not asking for you to agree with me.  I'm asking for you to acknowledge my argument.  This argument is why we made the bet in the first place.



curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6

My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox

curl-6 on 26 January 2023
The_Liquid_Laser said:
curl-6 said:

Why would it peak while supply is constrained and there are hardly any exclusives, then decline once supply improves and big games start to come out that you can't play on last gen?

I think you forgot the original reason for our bet.  The PS5 is competing with the Switch.  I have said this to you personally more times than I can count.  Every hardware sale that the Switch makes above 3DS + Wii U levels is a sale taken away from Playstation + XBox.

I am not asking for you to agree with me.  I'm asking for you to acknowledge my argument.  This argument is why we made the bet in the first place.

Okay but then how do we account for the fact that studies show a substantial percentage of gamers own both a Switch and a Playstation?

https://www.nintendolife.com/news/2020/12/switch_owners_most_likely_to_own_a_rival_console_2020_study_shows

https://www.nintendolife.com/news/2020/01/more_than_40_percent_of_switch_owners_in_the_us_have_another_video_game_system



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The_Liquid_Laser on 30 January 2023
curl-6 said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:

I think you forgot the original reason for our bet.  The PS5 is competing with the Switch.  I have said this to you personally more times than I can count.  Every hardware sale that the Switch makes above 3DS + Wii U levels is a sale taken away from Playstation + XBox.

I am not asking for you to agree with me.  I'm asking for you to acknowledge my argument.  This argument is why we made the bet in the first place.

Okay but then how do we account for the fact that studies show a substantial percentage of gamers own both a Switch and a Playstation?

https://www.nintendolife.com/news/2020/12/switch_owners_most_likely_to_own_a_rival_console_2020_study_shows

https://www.nintendolife.com/news/2020/01/more_than_40_percent_of_switch_owners_in_the_us_have_another_video_game_system

I'm not asking you to agree with me.  I'm asking you to acknowledge my argument.  You still failed to do it in this very post that I am quoting.



curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6

My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox

AJNShelton on 30 January 2023

Voted 16-17 million, with improved stock and PSVR 2 launch, it will be the best tech product of the year



curl-6 on 30 January 2023
The_Liquid_Laser said:
curl-6 said:

Okay but then how do we account for the fact that studies show a substantial percentage of gamers own both a Switch and a Playstation?

https://www.nintendolife.com/news/2020/12/switch_owners_most_likely_to_own_a_rival_console_2020_study_shows

https://www.nintendolife.com/news/2020/01/more_than_40_percent_of_switch_owners_in_the_us_have_another_video_game_system

I'm not asking you to agree with me.  I'm asking you to acknowledge my argument.  You still failed to do it in this very post that I am quoting.

I do acknowledge your argument, (that what I meant with "okay" last time) me disagreeing with it doesn't mean I'm invalidating you.

You say PS and Switch are competing, fair enough, I get that. But we know many people own both, so what's stopping millions of Switch owners from buying a PS5 in 2023?

Last edited by curl-6 - on 30 January 2023

NobleTeam360 on 30 January 2023

Supply seems to be greatly improved for the PS5 so it stands to reason that this should be a very good year for PS5 compared to the previous two. I went with 20-21 million in the poll but I think it might do even better than that now.



curl-6 on 30 January 2023

Yeah I cannot see it doing under 20 million.
I mean, I suppose it's possible if supply chokes again, but with Sony themselves saying shortages have abated, that doesn't seem likely.