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Forums - Sales Discussion - Sell-through expectations for the PlayStation 5 in 2023?

 

Sell-through expectations for the PlayStation 5 in 2023?

Less than 12 million 56 8.52%
 
12.0 - 13.9 million 27 4.11%
 
14.0 - 15.9 million 71 10.81%
 
16.0 - 17.9 million 96 14.61%
 
18.0 - 19.9 million 135 20.55%
 
20.0 - 21.9 million 110 16.74%
 
22.0 - 23.9 million 46 7.00%
 
24.0 - 25.9 million 28 4.26%
 
26.0 - 28.0 million 11 1.67%
 
More than 28 million 77 11.72%
 
Total:657

Last year I predicted around 15M for PS5 and 9.5M for Xbox Series. Based on the numbers we have, I overshot PS by about 1.5-2M and undershot Xbox Series by around .75M-1M. Still, overall, my reasoning was sound. I believed there would be continued supply chain problems and that MS would eat into what Sony could produce more significantly than others may have predicted.

Still, I think this year the PS5 will fair much better, provided there are no huge economic difficulties. I'm thinking 18M. It seems like a major jump in comparison to what this year provided, but I think that there won't be significant supply issues this year. My second prediction is that this will be the first year that PS5 outsells the Nintendo Switch for the year worldwide.



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The_Liquid_Laser said:

Under 12M. A lot under 12M. 2022 was the peak year for PS5 sales.



The_Liquid_Laser said:

Under 12M. A lot under 12M. 2022 was the peak year for PS5 sales.

You are always funny... but also always wrong.



I'm the 3rd xbot (almost in a row) to post something similar. That's how bad that prediction is. 

Under 12 Mil... Way off bro. I'd almost expect the series X/S to surpass that. 

Last edited by ironmanDX - on 11 January 2023

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Wanted to post that gif where a guy in a conference room gets up and jumps out of the window. Somehow didn't work.

@The_Liquid_Laser
Why do you refuse to even try to make a reasonable prediction based on any kind of logical argument and existing data?
Nobody can take you seriously like this.



I'm expecting something around 17M



Whatever Laser expects x2.



Kakadu18 said:

Wanted to post that gif where a guy in a conference room gets up and jumps out of the window. Somehow didn't work.

@The_Liquid_Laser
Why do you refuse to even try to make a reasonable prediction based on any kind of logical argument and existing data?
Nobody can take you seriously like this.

Here is a reality check.  In last year's thread you predicted 16M+ for PS5 sales in 2022.  I predicted 10M - 11.9M.  Actual sales are about 13M.  In reality my prediction was closer than yours.

A good prediction is not based on what you personally think is reasonable.  It's not based on what the most popular opinion is.  It's also not based on whatever mathematical model for data that is most commonly used on this forum.  A good prediction is the one that most accurately predicts what the sales data will be.  Period.

You are saying that I am not reasonable, when my last prediction was better than yours.