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Forums - Sales Discussion - How much would the current platforms have sold LTD without shortages?

The lifetime sales of the Xbox Series X/S, PS5, and even the Switch have been affected by shortages and other setbacks. FOMO is a real thing, and some will argue that the sales would be pretty similar if there were no shortages.

How much do you think the three major platforms would've sold LTD without any shortages at all and their official price points? We will be looking at sales from when each platform launched until April 30, 2022.

Switch has been affected the least, but even Nintendo says they can't make enough of the darn things to match full demand. 

Switch Total: 107,367,298

No shortages prediction: 115.5 million

PS5 Total: 19,467,776

No shortages prediction: 25.7 million

Xbox Series X/S Total: 14,428,785

No shortages prediction: 18.3 million



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 144 million (was 73, then 96, then 113 million, then 125 million)

PS5: 105 million Xbox Series S/X: 60 million

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima

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Wman1996 said:

Switch Total: 107,367,298

No shortages prediction: 115.5 million

PS5 Total: 19,467,776

No shortages prediction: 25.7 million

Xbox Series X/S Total: 14,428,785

No shortages prediction: 18.3 million

I will skip Switch prediction (as I have other opinion on the matter of sales impacting different consoles with one another, despite the switch is a hybrid there is still audience that can choose one over another) because it will follow fired up discussion. (I've worked in a videogame store before and I have seen many many cases how parents or even kids or teenagers come inside and because the one is not in stock (for example) they choose to buy the other console because they just want to play on something, they don't care on what). Other thing is that the demand seems more when there are shortages in general, giving most of the people reason to think that if it weren't the shortages it would've been way bigger interest in a console that is 6 years old.

As for the PS5 and XBOX Series X/S my predictions are the following:

PS5 Total: 19,467,776

No shortages prediction: 26 million

Xbox Series X/S Total: 14,428,785

No shortages prediction: 16 million

Whereas I again bet on this that some of the sales that happened till now for the xbox have been because of the bigger unavalability of the PS5 and when one person want to play games and the only option in the store or the website is the competitor consoles he will take it (although the Switch case isn't a direct competitor it's still good option for many people when there are no xbox or PS in stock). However in xbox case the shortages also impacted somewhat the sales that's why I think they would be surely higher but wouldn't have so much of a difference like the PS5 ones because of the reason I just stated. And yes I think at least for the first years of this gen if there was enough of a stock for both the difference would be bigger in PS5's advantage and more of the people would choose PS5 over the xbox.

Last edited by yo33331 - on 15 May 2022

Tough to say since no shortage wouldn't really be the same as limitless stock. I'd guess something like if production and shipments had been more normal:

Switch - 109m

PS5 - 22m

Xbox Series - 15.5m



Major Switch Titles Launch Aligned

2022 predictions:

  • Switch - 24m
  • PS5 - 15.5m
  • Xbox Series - 10m

Switch- about the same as it is right now
PS5- 24 million
Series- 16 million



More than they're at now.



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woulda shoulda coulda all 3 lie buried in a cave



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

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kirby007 said:

woulda shoulda coulda all 3 lie buried in a cave

Nah, buried in a field.



I actually think the shortages made these consoles more desirable to certain customers and "dealers" meaning some were caught in FOMO and were not inclined to wait as much as they might've initially.

Anywoo, maybe a million for XSeX and 2 million for the PS5. Predicting the unpredictable isn't my forte



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Without shortages I predict:

Switch: 110M
PS5: 25M
XSX: 15M

I don't think that Xbox would be much higher due to a boost in several countries due to a lack of PS5 units. PS5 was the most impacted by shortages, however I think Nintendo's Q3 of 2020 and Q1/2/3 combined of 2021 would have been higher as well.



Switch - same, there has always been switches available

PS5 - 40 million, your prediction of 25 is ridiculous, there's no ps5 anywhere to be found and I know a lot of people crazy looking for one that doesn't cost 800 dollars, you underestimate how popular the PS is, especially as it has full backwards compatibility with the ps4

Xbox - 15 million, because many people bought the series S instead, there's xbox series X and S both available on amazon for a few days already and its not selling out at all. I've also had a chance to buy one since launch on worten website if you are willing to wait for delivery. And there's a crazy high amount of series S being sold second hand on local facebook classifieds for less than 200 dollars.