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Forums - Politics Discussion - Russia and Ukraine flashpoint



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Zkuq said:
Ryuu96 said:

Maybe, but then he has told Orban (privately) that he would cut off aid to Ukraine. He has surrounded himself with anti-Ukraine voices (JD Vance, Elon Musk, JFK Jr) and spent lengthy parts of his rallies talking shit about Ukraine and Zelenskyy. I feel the only way for Ukraine is to somehow play massively to Trump's ego and hope that works which they are already doing. Also Trump holds a vendetta against Ukraine/Zelenskyy.

Maybe sell Trump that he could be the hero of Ukraine and build some fucking hotels there or some stupid shit after the war, Lol. Or more seriously, sell America something that Trump can benefit from, like drilling rigs or a few of their rare mineral mining operations. Sickening to imagine Zelenskyy is going to have to basically get on his hands and knees for Trump to help.

Would rather UK stepped up and gave America something than Ukraine though. Europe needs to massively step up on their own terms but I'd be fine with Keir trying to convince Trump, isn't that what UK has always been? The go-between America and Europe. Maybe Trump will listen to us, maybe not. Worth a try and while we're trying we need to work on becoming independent of America.

Yeah, but I don't think Ukraine is just going to surrender if Trump cuts off all aid from the US. Maybe Ukraine won't fight until the bitter end, but it certainly seems like they've got some juice to make it costly for Russia. I just don't see Zelenskyy, or anyone else, giving up now while they can still fight, struggle as it might be. The Ukrainian people might be willing to make peace, even at cost, but I don't they're at all ready to essentially surrender. Trump would have to make both parties an offer they think they can't best for a quick peace (i.e. something involving de facto independence for Ukraine even in the future if they make peace, and probably much worse time for Russia if they refuse), and I don't think he's committed enough for that.

I don't think Ukraine will surrender either, but it'll be all the same to Trump, Ukraine eventually loses = The war stops, I don't think it matters to him how it stops, even if that means millions of Ukrainians slaughtered, as long as it stops and without American support Ukraine will quickly lose ground. There's also so many other things America could do to hurt Ukraine aside from stopping sending their own equipment. Also I think, Zelenskyy would be kind of fucked if he surrendered that easily, Ukraine is a heavy militarised country now, they'd probably be a military coup if the terms aren't good for Ukraine.

Not saying it's impossible, there's a slim chance that something could work, I'm just very unconvinced and I hope Europe doesn't wait around for it, actually straight up fucking pathetic how much Europe has dragged its feet despite the threat of Trump being known for years now. Extremely poor preparation planning.  Maybe Poland should threaten to enter Ukraine if America abandons Ukraine cause I know for a fact Poland doesn't want Russia on its borders and they have fear that if Ukraine falls due to the West's inaction and weakness, Poland and the Baltics will be next.

Last edited by Ryuu96 - on 06 November 2024

Ryuu96 said:
Zkuq said:

Yeah, but I don't think Ukraine is just going to surrender if Trump cuts off all aid from the US. Maybe Ukraine won't fight until the bitter end, but it certainly seems like they've got some juice to make it costly for Russia. I just don't see Zelenskyy, or anyone else, giving up now while they can still fight, struggle as it might be. The Ukrainian people might be willing to make peace, even at cost, but I don't they're at all ready to essentially surrender. Trump would have to make both parties an offer they think they can't best for a quick peace (i.e. something involving de facto independence for Ukraine even in the future if they make peace, and probably much worse time for Russia if they refuse), and I don't think he's committed enough for that.

I don't think Ukraine will surrender either, but it'll be all the same to Trump, Ukraine eventually loses = The war stops, I don't think it matters to him how it stops, even if that means millions of Ukrainians slaughtered, as long as it stops and without American support Ukraine will quickly lose ground. There's also so many other things America could do to hurt Ukraine aside from stopping sending their own equipment. Also I think, Zelenskyy would be kind of fucked if he surrendered that easily, Ukraine is a heavy militarised country now, they'd probably be a military coup if the terms aren't good for Ukraine.

Not saying it's impossible, there's a slim chance that something could work, I'm just very unconvinced and I hope Europe doesn't wait around for it, actually straight up fucking pathetic how much Europe has dragged its feet despite the threat of Trump being known for years now. Extremely poor preparation planning.  Maybe Poland should threaten to enter Ukraine if America abandons Ukraine cause I know for a fact Poland doesn't want Russia on its borders and they have fear that if Ukraine falls due to the West's inaction and weakness, Poland and the Baltics will be next.

Yeah, I agree the situation isn't good, but we'll see how it pans out. I don't think Poland needs to be worried, because if Russia can maybe just barely handle Ukraine, they stand no chance against Poland, which is significantly wealthier and probably much, much better equipped, and also backed directly by NATO. I just don't see a world where Russia could gain anything from Poland without nuclear weapons. I think this is also known well enough in Poland. The Baltics, on the other hand, should probably be quite worried. It's absolutely pitiful how Europe has handled the whole situation. Here's hoping things improve with a dedicated defense commissioner in the EU now, but I certainly don't have my hopes very high.



Just hope this isn't a repeat of WW2 and we watch Hitler 2.0 slowly slaughter an entire country and do nothing about it thinking we'll be fine, I don't even give a fuck if we'll be fine, we should be saving Ukraine simply because it's the right thing to do even before any "will they/won't they invade Baltics next" though Moldova will be next if they don't submit before then.

It just really really feels like, nobody has learnt a thing about WW2, especially America.

I believe Europe can step up if they really tried but will they try...Come on man...We're Europe...We're a collection of some of the most powerful countries in the world...If we're united we are a formidable force. We've defeated Nazis before and we can do it again. Even better this time because it's not fucking half of Europe fighting each other, Lol. We have a common enemy.

Europe needs to get real, we can send Ukraine what they need and yes it will hurt our defences but literally the only country that is a threat to us is Russia who we could defeat in Ukraine and who is more likely to recover faster? Europe or Russia? Definitely Europe. Quite frankly I'd happily give Ukraine ALL of UK's stock of IFVs, MBTs, etc. Then just rebuild it back up over time, who is threatening us?! Who is going to attack UK?! And no, if America starts shit with China but abandons Ukraine then they can deal with that shit themselves. 

Europe is our home, not Asia, not Africa, not America. Europe is ours to protect. Europe should be our priority. Even if we sent all our land-based equipment we would still have enough in air force and navy to protect ourselves. We can't even give Ukraine any naval stuff anyway because Türkiye closed the strait so that's not even a consideration.



Zkuq said:
Ryuu96 said:

I don't think Ukraine will surrender either, but it'll be all the same to Trump, Ukraine eventually loses = The war stops, I don't think it matters to him how it stops, even if that means millions of Ukrainians slaughtered, as long as it stops and without American support Ukraine will quickly lose ground. There's also so many other things America could do to hurt Ukraine aside from stopping sending their own equipment. Also I think, Zelenskyy would be kind of fucked if he surrendered that easily, Ukraine is a heavy militarised country now, they'd probably be a military coup if the terms aren't good for Ukraine.

Not saying it's impossible, there's a slim chance that something could work, I'm just very unconvinced and I hope Europe doesn't wait around for it, actually straight up fucking pathetic how much Europe has dragged its feet despite the threat of Trump being known for years now. Extremely poor preparation planning.  Maybe Poland should threaten to enter Ukraine if America abandons Ukraine cause I know for a fact Poland doesn't want Russia on its borders and they have fear that if Ukraine falls due to the West's inaction and weakness, Poland and the Baltics will be next.

Yeah, I agree the situation isn't good, but we'll see how it pans out. I don't think Poland needs to be worried, because if Russia can maybe just barely handle Ukraine, they stand no chance against Poland, which is significantly wealthier and probably much, much better equipped, and also backed directly by NATO. I just don't see a world where Russia could gain anything from Poland without nuclear weapons. I think this is also known well enough in Poland. The Baltics, on the other hand, should probably be quite worried. It's absolutely pitiful how Europe has handled the whole situation. Here's hoping things improve with a dedicated defense commissioner in the EU now, but I certainly don't have my hopes very high.

Yeah Poland would probably slap Russia down but they still don't want Russia on their border.

Baltics is worrying because I even question myself, if America abandons NATO, is UK/Germany/France really going to send TROOPS into the tiny Baltic countries to defend them? Are we going to see it worth the risk in our constant attitude of fear of escalation? I mean, it would basically kill NATO if we didn't respond but maybe that's all NATO would be at the end of the day, an illusion of defence...Can't believe I'm even doubting this at this stage but it's the action of these governments that have made me do so.



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Russia's economy is so pitiful for its size that we could fart at Russia and win, if we only bothered to do that - and by 'we' I mean just the EU, let alone if the UK and any non-EU countries in Europe were also added to the mix. I don't think people realize how little we would have to do to help give Ukraine a massive advantage and not have to worry about Russia again in what's probably at least 20 years, all of which could be achieved by not losing a single non-Ukrainian life either.



Zkuq said:

Russia's economy is so pitiful for its size that we could fart at Russia and win, if we only bothered to do that - and by 'we' I mean just the EU, let alone if the UK and any non-EU countries in Europe were also added to the mix. I don't think people realize how little we would have to do to help give Ukraine a massive advantage and not have to worry about Russia again in what's probably at least 20 years, all of which could be achieved by not losing a single non-Ukrainian life either.

Remember when that PMC turned around and decided to march up to Putin's door and then Putin conveniently bailed before they could reach the capital?, that's how easy it would be. 

The thing I'm weary about is Putin himself. Soldiers can give up and leave/surrender, but Putin, he's the type that doesn't like to lose (he's about as mad as Stalin). 



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Bofferbrauer2 said:
crissindahouse said:

South Korea probably has to fear that USA will throw them also in front of the truck anytime soon. Because Trump will tell them as well that friendship and protection only works with money

Thing is, South Korea is producing it's military equipment themselves now, with little input from the US. In fact, what they got in terms of American equipment is either very old and mothballed (like M48 Patton Tanks and M113 APC) or produced locally under license - and even those are slowly getting replaced by local designs. They also have several designs that are getting replaced, so there certainly is some stuff they could send to Ukraine, especially Artillery and K1 tanks, but also Man-portable weapons and wheeled APC plus tons of unarmored trucks and 4x4. And several Russian equipment units which was used as a way to repay soviet debt.

As such, there's very little Trump could do to stop them from sending stuff to Ukraine. And economic sanctions that would be returned in kind would certainly hurt the US more than it would hurt Korea.

Yes I know that, what I meant is that Trump wouldn't help South Korea in case of some crazy idea from NK to attack them. Maybe even with Russian help. Sure, it's unrealistic but it's harder to give your equipment to Ukraine with NK as neighbour when you know that USA isn't on your side then. 



I’m wondering if the chances of using nukes has gone up now that Putin has an asset in charge of the US?



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