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Forums - Sales Discussion - Console launch sales comparison graphs

Zippy6 said:
Robert_Downey_Jr. said:

Poor ps5 will fall behind its predecessor due to supply constraints. Hopefully the demand stays high!

The shipment forecast for PS5 hasn't been changed yet, they're still planning to ship 22.6m by March 2022 last we heard, compared to 22.3m by March 2015 for PS4. So it's possible stock starts ramping up soon so PS5 can stay ahead, but to be honest I'm not expecting them to meet that 22.6m target, I don't think they'll be able to produce enough, so yeah PS5 might fall behind.

If they had the stock PS5 would easily stay ahead, it's sold more than PS4 and is still sold-out everywhere while PS4 was readily available by this time. Demand for PS5 is much stronger than PS4's was.

Agreed though I thought I heard recently they had lowered their projection for the fiscal year down a million due to component shortages?  I hope late next year the semiconductors can start getting supplied better so they can start really pumping.  I'm sure Sony is cursing this as they easily could be way ahead of the curve by now 



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Robert_Downey_Jr. said:
Zippy6 said:

The shipment forecast for PS5 hasn't been changed yet, they're still planning to ship 22.6m by March 2022 last we heard, compared to 22.3m by March 2015 for PS4. So it's possible stock starts ramping up soon so PS5 can stay ahead, but to be honest I'm not expecting them to meet that 22.6m target, I don't think they'll be able to produce enough, so yeah PS5 might fall behind.

If they had the stock PS5 would easily stay ahead, it's sold more than PS4 and is still sold-out everywhere while PS4 was readily available by this time. Demand for PS5 is much stronger than PS4's was.

Agreed though I thought I heard recently they had lowered their projection for the fiscal year down a million due to component shortages?  I hope late next year the semiconductors can start getting supplied better so they can start really pumping.  I'm sure Sony is cursing this as they easily could be way ahead of the curve by now 

Bloomberg reported that they had lowered production forecast from 16m to 15m for the fiscal year, though neither of those figures are official from Sony. Only official figure is shipment forecast of 14.8m for the Fiscal year which hasn't been changed since it was first given in April. In August Sony reconfirmed that they would be able to produce enough to meet this figure, but things may have changed since then.



DaAndy said:

How about PS3 -vs- PS4 -vs- PS5 in Japan? Should be not less interesting than the X-Boxes comparison in Japan. :)

I have added this now!



accidental post.



yo33331 said:

Yep, you are right, I agree.

If PS5 was in full stock everywhere I think it could reach 20M for this year alone.

I see this type of argument a lot, and I don't really understand what the logic is behind it. Demand definitely seems to be high right now, but it's difficult to judge true demand since it's notably limited. In addition, the limited availability of the product could be driving sales higher than they normally would be. Historically there hasn't been a single console that has ever sold 20 million in their first year, and even at the PS4's sales height (when it was definitely widely available and had a very large game library and several huge releases) it just barely crossed that mark, and it did so exactly once. 

Consoles (if they are successful, anyway) always sell the least in both the initial years and their last years on the market, essentially creating a bell curve. I don't see why this tendency would change for the PS5 even if it were widely available. Unless you think 20M would be one of their weakest years sales wise for the PS5. 



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Zippy6 said:
DaAndy said:

How about PS3 -vs- PS4 -vs- PS5 in Japan? Should be not less interesting than the X-Boxes comparison in Japan. :)

I have added this now!

Thank you very much! :)



The two Japan graphs have been updated with the latest Famitsu numbers. Xbox 360 sales in Japan exploded this week with the release of "Blue Dragon" an exclusive JRPG title. PS3 saw the release of Dynasty Warriors 6 in it's week. PS5 is continuing to have stock issues and is likely to fall behind the PS4 if this continues.

Last edited by Zippy6 - on 18 November 2021

It's nice to see the Japan graphs since before the incident on that other forum happened there were nice ones updated each week. I'd like a third Japan one comparing the Switch to other successful Nintendo systems so all three get a Japan one.

Last edited by Norion - on 19 November 2021

Norion said:

It's nice to see the Japan graphs since before the incident on that other forum happened there was a nice one updated each week. I'd like a third Japan one comparing the Switch to other successful Nintendo systems so all three get a Japan one.

I'll start collecting the data for it. Will probably do 3DS, DS and Switch as that seems the most relevant comparisons for Japan sales.



Zippy6 said:
Norion said:

It's nice to see the Japan graphs since before the incident on that other forum happened there was a nice one updated each week. I'd like a third Japan one comparing the Switch to other successful Nintendo systems so all three get a Japan one.

I'll start collecting the data for it. Will probably do 3DS, DS and Switch as that seems the most relevant comparisons for Japan sales.

Yep those two would be two best ones to include. Also I wanna say that your contributions to this site are really nice so I definitely appreciate threads like this.