By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - Can The Switch become the best selling video game console in Japan?

 

Can switch become the best selling video game console in Japan?

Yes, switch #1 41 58.57%
 
No, 2nd behind the DS 16 22.86%
 
No, 3rd behind the Gameboy 9 12.86%
 
No, 4th behind the 3DS 1 1.43%
 
No 5th behind the PS2 3 4.29%
 
Total:70

About 10 million to go after end of this year? Seems doable.

Sales should start falling next year a bit, but I doubt it'll be a drastic fall from the ~6 million of these two years. I could see it knock out 8+ million in '22 and '23. Assume a spring '24 successor launch (doubt it would be any earlier than that) means by launch of successor it'd maybe be 1.5 million or less to go. I think with a Spring '24 successor launch Switch will just barely eek by DS, but will easily pass it if a holiday '24 Switch 2 launch happens.



Around the Network

The main advantage Switch has is that the DS, like the Wii, fell sharply towards the end of its life, so the main factor in this race will be stamina.

A 2024 replacement for Switch would pretty much guarantee its victory, unless 2023 is a barren desert in terms of software. Hopefully Nintendo isn't stubborn when it comes to price cuts either.



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023. (And over 130 million lifetime)

ShadowLink93 said:
Farsala said:

It is currently far behind the DS launch aligned, so I don't think it will.

However, I agree with Curl-6. If Nintendo doesn't announce the next console, it should be able to do it.

Worldwide NSW is around 13m shipments behind NDS launched aligned (89m v 102m) and it will fall further behind with thursdays Q2 sales report but it can still beat it by having a stronger tail. I think NSW will beat NDS in Japan by being stronger in it's final years.

Add 3.83m for Quarter 19. For Calendar year 2021, Switch is down 2.83m YoY or -18%.

As for the topic, Japan. For Fiscal year 2021, Switch is down 700k YoY or -26%.

Nintendo has revised their forecast down, due to semiconductor shortages.



100%



 

My youtube gaming page.

http://www.youtube.com/user/klaudkil

It outsold the 3DS. Two more to go



Around the Network
Chicho said:

It outsold the 3DS. Two more to go

you should update the mortal kombat type illustration on the original post, and even maybe remove the 2 options in the poll that are no more valid. (since they also have almost no votes) or even more extremely, reset the poll since some people may want to change their vote from 7 months ago.

On the topic I see it like this:

2022: 4M - 4.5M

2023: 3M

2024 and beyond: 2M

So I see it coming close but not close enough to outsell them. But who knows, when the gap is within 1-2M everything can happen and it can easily go both ways (either a little bit lower or a little bit higher)

Last edited by yo33331 - on 15 May 2022

According to the numbers here at VGCharts the Switch is at 24.72 millions here are the others

DS 33.01
GB 32.47
3DS 24.67

And here is an updated Mortal Kombat 1 themed picture of the situation



yo33331 said:
Chicho said:

It outsold the 3DS. Two more to go

you should update the mortal kombat type illustration on the original post, and even maybe remove the 2 options in the poll that are no more valid. (since they also have almost no votes) or even more extremely, reset the poll since some people may want to change their vote from 7 months ago.

On the topic I see it like this:

2022: 4M - 4.5M

2023: 3M

2024 and beyond: 2M

So I see it coming close but not close enough to outsell them. But who knows, when the gap is within 1-2M everything can happen and it can easily go both ways (either a little bit lower or a little bit higher)

Yes is not guaranteed that it will do it. And like you say could go either way but to me is looking very likely.  



I really hope the Switch gets a much longer lifespan. 3rd party titles aren't really pushing the Switch's hardware anyway, and the sales aren't really affected by that, so there's no hurry to upgrade.



You know it deserves the GOTY.

Come join The 2018 Obscure Game Monthly Review Thread.