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Forums - Sales Discussion - The PlayStation 5 shipped 13.4m units by September 30th. Lifetime sales expectations?

 

The PlayStation 5 shipped 13.4m units by September 30th. Lifetime sales expectations?

Less than 70 million 46 5.21%
 
70.0 - 79.9 million 26 2.94%
 
80.0 - 89.9 million 57 6.46%
 
90.0 - 99.9 million 91 10.31%
 
100.0 - 109.9 million 160 18.12%
 
110.0 - 119.9 million 158 17.89%
 
120.0 - 129.9 million 201 22.76%
 
130.0 - 139.9 million 49 5.55%
 
140.0 - 150.0 million 29 3.28%
 
More than 150 million 66 7.47%
 
Total:883
TheTony316 on 06 November 2021
The_Liquid_Laser said:
Dallinor said:

So less than the PS3?

The console that's currently having stock issues and will be over 5 million ahead in the same timeframe?

Give us even ballpark region or yearly figures for that to be possible.  

Yep, less than PS3.  I am very confident saying "less than 80m".  If I have to pick between "less than 70m" or "70-79m", then I'm yet sure which.  I voted "70-79m" though. 

PS5 is going to get Blockbustered.  Blockbuster was the king of video rental and then it got hit by Netflix and Redbox at the same time.  Playstation is going to lose marketshare to both Gamepass and Switch at same time.  It will get Blockbustered.

Regional breakdown will be something like this (optimistically for PS5):
Japan 5m
Row 12m
NA 23m
Europe 35m
Total 75m

Not happening. PS5 is going to sell 50-60 million in Europe alone. People over here just don't care for Xbox no matter what. Always been this way.  Microsofts only realistic chance is NA.



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TheTony316 on 06 November 2021

It's too early to tell but I'd say between 120-130 million is realistic.



Zippy6 on 06 November 2021
TheTony316 said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:

Yep, less than PS3.  I am very confident saying "less than 80m".  If I have to pick between "less than 70m" or "70-79m", then I'm yet sure which.  I voted "70-79m" though. 

PS5 is going to get Blockbustered.  Blockbuster was the king of video rental and then it got hit by Netflix and Redbox at the same time.  Playstation is going to lose marketshare to both Gamepass and Switch at same time.  It will get Blockbustered.

Regional breakdown will be something like this (optimistically for PS5):
Japan 5m
Row 12m
NA 23m
Europe 35m
Total 75m

Not happening. PS5 is going to sell 50-60 million in Europe alone. People over here just don't care for Xbox no matter what. Always been this way.  Microsofts only realistic chance is NA.

The fabled Switch cliff has apparently moved to the PS5.



Console Launch Aligned Sales Charts

Famitsu Sales Database

VGChartz Monthly Sales Database

Norion on 06 November 2021
Zippy6 said:
TheTony316 said:

Not happening. PS5 is going to sell 50-60 million in Europe alone. People over here just don't care for Xbox no matter what. Always been this way.  Microsofts only realistic chance is NA.

The fabled Switch cliff has apparently moved to the PS5.

Yeah and it's even less likely in this case since the PS5 getting almost every major third party game and various popular exclusives keeping sales strong for several years is guaranteed.



src on 06 November 2021

VR is also a wildcard here. VR was too compute limited last gen, but with AR/VR devices to be released in the coming decade there's going to be a notable increase in adoption.

PSVR2 is the only console VR atm and Playstation has a strong VR exclusive lineup.



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Oneeee-Chan!!! on 06 November 2021

It will depend on when the next generation starts.

If ps6 is coming in 2027, 130-140million.

If ps6 is coming in 2028, 140-155million.



OdinHades on 07 November 2021

I have a feeling it won't do as good as the PS4 and stay below 100m.

I don't have any arguments to support that claim though. =P



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Kakadu18 on 07 November 2021
OdinHades said:

I have a feeling it won't do as good as the PS4 and stay below 100m.

I don't have any arguments to support that claim though. =P

Always love this kind of prediction.

Last edited by Kakadu18 - on 08 November 2021

Carl on 07 November 2021

I'll go for ~120 Million.

I don't yet own a PS5 and until they actually start making a bunch of PS5 exclusives, I see no reason to buy one. That being said, my top PS5 game is probably Ghost of Tsushima.