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Forums - Sales Discussion - Famitsu Sales: Week 1, 2021 (Dec 28 - Jan 03)

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Sony HW sales for Week 1 have decreased 51% YoY in Japan and yes I'm counting PS5 + PS4 vs only PS4 in 2020. That's not a good sign.



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Momtaro still continues its march.



Wyrdness said:

Momtaro still continues its march.

yeah and bring Super Mario Party to the party



In 2020 Switch had a market share of 86.93% for the whole year.

This year starts with 91.40%. Last year started with 82.03%.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Shipments

RolStoppable said:

In 2020 Switch had a market share of 86.93% for the whole year.

This year starts with 91.40%. Last year started with 82.03%.

Nes have this market share?



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Agente42 said:
RolStoppable said:

In 2020 Switch had a market share of 86.93% for the whole year.

This year starts with 91.40%. Last year started with 82.03%.

Nes have this market share?

Can't be said for certain without knowing all figures. A sales tracker didn't exist back then.

But it's likely that the NES had a full year with 90+% at some point.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Shipments

RolStoppable said:

It's time to move on to 2021. The new year gets kicked off with a slight plus over the previous year and the different alignment of days might further aid 2021 to get off to a good start.

It would be shocking if any Switch game released in the future turns out to be as big as Animal Crossing, so it's unlikely that 2021 will be bigger than 2020 was. I set the target for 2021 at 5.0m, so that's the figure I will keep in mind to judge whether or not Switch is on a good pace.

Week2020 Weekly2020 Cumulative2021 Weekly2021 CumulativeDifference WeeklyDifference Cumulative
1284.827284.827312.121312.12127.29427.294
2116.301401.128
396.458497.586
467.987565.573
575.922641.495
6100.961741.456
780.312821.948
841.490863.258
953.098916.356
1050.585967.941
1157.2741.025.215
12392.5761.417.791
13282.5611.700.352
14154.6401.854.992
1525.3131.880.305
1627.8741.908.179
17107.1042.015.284
1878.7312.094.015
1978.7312.172.746
2038.3802.211.126
2152.5572.263.683
22107.5932.371.276
2368.1922.439.468
2455.1872.494.655
2578.4282.573.083
2693.7992.666.882
2752.2502.719.132
2896.8792.816.011
29113.1972.929.208
30125.2313.054.439
3186.6053.141.044
32173.3383.314.382
33148.6993.463.081
3470.1293.533.210
3578.7733.611.983
3677.6113.689.594
3783.9203.773.514
38110.0293.883.543
3970.5423.954.085
4091.0934.045.178
41108.5754.153.753
4295.8524.249.605
4364.7684.314.373
4486.9854.401.358
45139.2004.540.558
46116.2674.656.825
47179.1434.835.968
48145.1784.981.146
49204.6225.185.768
50229.6985.415.466
51263.3045.678.770
52278.1735.956.943

Looking at 2021, I think it will beat 2020 regularly for the first 11 weeks, but then once it starts competing with Animal Crossing things will swing the other way quick.  Monster Hunter Rise releases one week later than Animal Crossing so we can see how the two games compare in terms of moving hardware in the spring. While MHR should certainly be big in Japan, I doubt it will last quite as long as AC in terms of hardware selling effect. I don't anticipate the shortages like last year so 2021 will likely take the 2020 shortage weeks (e.g, weeks 15 & 16) though.

Overall, I see no reason the Switch can't beat your 5M target, perhaps by quite a bit.  I'll guess 5.5 million for 2021.



SW-3707-5131-3911

Software combined for both weeks: (52/2020+1/2021)

01. [NSW] Momotaro Dentetsu: Showa, Heisei, Reiwa mo Teiban! - 459.243
02. [NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons - 202.132
03. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 152.052
04. [NSW] Ring Fit Adventure - 129.275
05. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate - 108.052
06. [NSW] Pikmin 3 Deluxe - 91.336
07. [NSW] Super Mario Party - 86.723
08. [NSW] Minecraft - 85.989
09. [NSW] Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics - 85.027

10. [NSW] Super Mario 3D All-Stars - 70.144



Source: ResetEra



Agente42 said:

Source: ResetEra

That's weird the graph has Switch at over 6m. I wonder where that number came from.



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