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Forums - Sales Discussion - Famitsu Sales: Week 1, 2021 (Dec 28 - Jan 03)

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Wyrdness said:

Momtaro still continues its march.

yeah and bring Super Mario Party to the party



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RolStoppable said:

In 2020 Switch had a market share of 86.93% for the whole year.

This year starts with 91.40%. Last year started with 82.03%.

Nes have this market share?



RolStoppable said:

It's time to move on to 2021. The new year gets kicked off with a slight plus over the previous year and the different alignment of days might further aid 2021 to get off to a good start.

It would be shocking if any Switch game released in the future turns out to be as big as Animal Crossing, so it's unlikely that 2021 will be bigger than 2020 was. I set the target for 2021 at 5.0m, so that's the figure I will keep in mind to judge whether or not Switch is on a good pace.

Week2020 Weekly2020 Cumulative2021 Weekly2021 CumulativeDifference WeeklyDifference Cumulative
1284.827284.827312.121312.12127.29427.294
2116.301401.128
396.458497.586
467.987565.573
575.922641.495
6100.961741.456
780.312821.948
841.490863.258
953.098916.356
1050.585967.941
1157.2741.025.215
12392.5761.417.791
13282.5611.700.352
14154.6401.854.992
1525.3131.880.305
1627.8741.908.179
17107.1042.015.284
1878.7312.094.015
1978.7312.172.746
2038.3802.211.126
2152.5572.263.683
22107.5932.371.276
2368.1922.439.468
2455.1872.494.655
2578.4282.573.083
2693.7992.666.882
2752.2502.719.132
2896.8792.816.011
29113.1972.929.208
30125.2313.054.439
3186.6053.141.044
32173.3383.314.382
33148.6993.463.081
3470.1293.533.210
3578.7733.611.983
3677.6113.689.594
3783.9203.773.514
38110.0293.883.543
3970.5423.954.085
4091.0934.045.178
41108.5754.153.753
4295.8524.249.605
4364.7684.314.373
4486.9854.401.358
45139.2004.540.558
46116.2674.656.825
47179.1434.835.968
48145.1784.981.146
49204.6225.185.768
50229.6985.415.466
51263.3045.678.770
52278.1735.956.943

Looking at 2021, I think it will beat 2020 regularly for the first 11 weeks, but then once it starts competing with Animal Crossing things will swing the other way quick.  Monster Hunter Rise releases one week later than Animal Crossing so we can see how the two games compare in terms of moving hardware in the spring. While MHR should certainly be big in Japan, I doubt it will last quite as long as AC in terms of hardware selling effect. I don't anticipate the shortages like last year so 2021 will likely take the 2020 shortage weeks (e.g, weeks 15 & 16) though.

Overall, I see no reason the Switch can't beat your 5M target, perhaps by quite a bit.  I'll guess 5.5 million for 2021.



Switch: SW-3707-5131-3911
XBox: Kenjabish

Source: ResetEra



Agente42 said:

Source: ResetEra

That's weird the graph has Switch at over 6m. I wonder where that number came from.



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PS4 beating PS5, damn! And I'm pretty sure it's not just because a lack of stock...

TruckOSaurus said:
Agente42 said:

Source: ResetEra

That's weird the graph has Switch at over 6m. I wonder where that number came from.

It says Nintendo, not Switch. Meaning 3DS numbers have been added in.



TruckOSaurus said:
Agente42 said:

Source: ResetEra

That's weird the graph has Switch at over 6m. I wonder where that number came from.

3ds and Switch, maybe?

Last edited by Agente42 - on 07 January 2021

Agente42 said:
RolStoppable said:

In 2020 Switch had a market share of 86.93% for the whole year.

This year starts with 91.40%. Last year started with 82.03%.

Nes have this market share?

Probably, I was watching high score yesterday on Netflix and Tom Kalinske stated that Nintendo had a 93% market share when he was hired, now that could have just been North America, Japan I’m not sure on but one would assume it was similar there. 



Marth said:

Famitsu stopped XBO tracking, which is not a suprise at all. Its sales were more statistical noise than anything.

Both Sony and Microsoft are unable (or unwilling) to stock their consoles.

Well they should stop tracking Series sales as well then



But it's a shame that at least 1/2 or 2/3 of these sales aren't counted as 2020 sales for the Switch, which could've ended 2020 with 6.1 million sales