With the Switch close to it's peak, what do you think will it sell next year? I talk about calendar year 2021 and numbers according to VGC. And to make it something you not just about preferences, I make it a bet, so you should put your VG$ where your mouth is.

You can also bet, which console will sell the most in 2021.

5 million? Do you expect Switch lifetime sales to be 80 million or so? smh

The absolute minimum option would be 15 million

And even 20 million is already a pessimistic prediction, it would lead for about 35% drop after the peak year. It's not how consoles sales usually behave

I put exactly the same range of options for Series X/S, PS5 and Switch.

Do I? If I don't treat Nintendo special I discriminate against them?

I guess I could've added a 22.5M and a 25M option (for all three platforms). Too late now, as people already placed bets.

EDIT: Actually I can - as people can change their bet. So attention everyone, I added higher options, if you want to use them please change your bet!

I voted 25m+. I think Switch will keep doing well next year.

lol to the one person so far who voted 15 - 17.5 million! The 17.5 to 20 mil option should have been the lowest, as anything under 20 million is seriously lowballing it. I bet 22.5 to 25 mil as I think Switch will decline a few million from this year. It'll probably hit in the upper part of the range though, maybe just under 25 mil.

Switch should actually have the supply to meet demand next year, unlike this year, since they've increased production so much this year. And they've got new model, BotW2, likely price cuts or at least for the original, a big pokemon remake, Mario 3D World port, MH, likely stronger than ever 3rd party, and probably a bunch of other great 1st party games. On paper you'd think it would beat 2020 but I don't see beating AC + Covid demand, plus you've got some competition from the next gen systems that'll factor in a bit to where people spend money.

Same here, 25m+

This honestly has two main factors to it.

First will the Ps5 and Xbox______ solve their supply bottleneck.

Second is the games. Evergreen titles are important but people will buy the system in small, but important, numbers to ensure they get to play cult games like Bayonetta 3 and NMH 3.

They'll also have a flood of content/promotion with both Zelda 35th and Pokemon 25th anniversaries running.  And this time they would have been planned/designed with COVID in mind vs Mario 35th anniversary promotion being originally rumored to begin in April (start of FY) and then getting crammed into the last 3.5 months of the year instead.