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Forums - Sales Discussion - If Xbox Series S is 100$ cheaper than PS5 All-Digital, does Xbox have a legitimate chance of outselling PS5 this gen?

 

If Xbox Series S is 100$ cheaper than PS5, could Xbox Outsell PS5?

Yes, Xbox is the favorite to win 9 5.77%
 
Yes, it's possible 36 23.08%
 
Unlikely 60 38.46%
 
No chance 51 32.69%
 
Total:156
Too_Talls said:

Intrinsic said:

If the price was as important as some make it out to be, then the XB1 should have been outselling the PS5 since 2014.

What are you talking about? the PS4 launched $100 cheaper then the xbox one.

Exactly. At launch in 2013. in 2014, the prices were not the same since Xbox quickly backpedaled on the forced Kinect inclusion. You're not arguing against the point you think you are. 



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sales2099 said:
eva01beserk said:

2 things.

first you mistake me saying that no everyone finds value in gamepass to you interprreting me saying gamepass has no value. Wich is the main mistakess fans make. to belive that if im not 100% for something it means that I must hate it. Im trying to tell you that this will not entise 100% of the gaming market. 

second is that your only criteria for value is only quantity. A lot would say that more of a bad thing is not good value. 

Now i have been very specific in saying that the big games available on gamepass are either MS games that come day one with it, or if they are big third party games they come way later into the service. Now that for me dosent work. because I ike single player story driven games so im gona play I game i think im gona like on day one, or otherwise I will get spoiled. So if a big game comes to gamepass that is third party, by the time it gets there i would most likely play it by then. There could be others like me that are more cash strapted and will only pay for gamepass, but what if thouse games never come?

Now for MS games, so far none of them have apealed to me. That could definety change in the future, but so far there is no value in gamepass for me yet and Im betting im not the only one that thinks like that. Theres still value in gamepass for many, just not everyone. 

Value in GP is quantity and quality. Don’t see why it can’t be both. Plenty great games on the service. Of course nothing has a 100% market penetration rate, and everybody is entitled to their tastes in genres and don’t want to wait for big games to enter the service. That said, you have to put your personal preferences aside and look at this from a broad picture.

I may be bias as hell, but it’s a no brainer to say you pay less and get more with Xbox via Game Pass, especially coupled with Xcloud, EA Play and day 1 1st party. More often then not the average gamer is more likely to find something they like among all of that then find nothing appealing at all. 

You definetly have quantity part of the equation, but quality is not the same for everyone. Like You yourself have admited not everything has 100% penetration. I already used me as an example of why a person like me sees no value in gamepass. I would rather use that $180 a year in 3 games I know im going to like. So you saying now 200 games still means nothing for me if I still have no interest in any of them. 

You really cant take bias out of it wich is the thing. There are people that I know whos only reason to own a console is fifa. I kid you not but they only play fifa all year round. for them as well this means absolutly zero even with EA play, because it only adds the fifa from the previous year and a super fan will buy the latest fifa. Because thats the issue with yearly titles, as soon as the new version is out, the old one just dies on the spot. That for me is the main issue with gamepass. for me if they have big games that I would like, I probably already played it. I work and have family comitmets and other shit, I dont have time to play indy or other smaller games so for me only the big hitters matter. And im willing to bet that gaming demographic has shifted to where the main console gamers are in their 20's and 30's. So they are more likely to be in my situation. They would also be working so they have more tolerance of what value is considered. 

So far the only garanty market gamepass has in my opinion is children. And I will say that if that is the  case that will put a big quation mark on the type of games that MS will push with that demographic. 



It takes genuine talent to see greatness in yourself despite your absence of genuine talent.

eva01beserk said:
sales2099 said:

Value in GP is quantity and quality. Don’t see why it can’t be both. Plenty great games on the service. Of course nothing has a 100% market penetration rate, and everybody is entitled to their tastes in genres and don’t want to wait for big games to enter the service. That said, you have to put your personal preferences aside and look at this from a broad picture.

I may be bias as hell, but it’s a no brainer to say you pay less and get more with Xbox via Game Pass, especially coupled with Xcloud, EA Play and day 1 1st party. More often then not the average gamer is more likely to find something they like among all of that then find nothing appealing at all. 

You definetly have quantity part of the equation, but quality is not the same for everyone. Like You yourself have admited not everything has 100% penetration. I already used me as an example of why a person like me sees no value in gamepass. I would rather use that $180 a year in 3 games I know im going to like. So you saying now 200 games still means nothing for me if I still have no interest in any of them. 

You really cant take bias out of it wich is the thing. There are people that I know whos only reason to own a console is fifa. I kid you not but they only play fifa all year round. for them as well this means absolutly zero even with EA play, because it only adds the fifa from the previous year and a super fan will buy the latest fifa. Because thats the issue with yearly titles, as soon as the new version is out, the old one just dies on the spot. That for me is the main issue with gamepass. for me if they have big games that I would like, I probably already played it. I work and have family comitmets and other shit, I dont have time to play indy or other smaller games so for me only the big hitters matter. And im willing to bet that gaming demographic has shifted to where the main console gamers are in their 20's and 30's. So they are more likely to be in my situation. They would also be working so they have more tolerance of what value is considered. 

So far the only garanty market gamepass has in my opinion is children. And I will say that if that is the  case that will put a big quation mark on the type of games that MS will push with that demographic. 

I wouldn't get too involved with him. He's not a bad person but like 99% of his posts are him bending over backwards to sell people on Xbox and GamePass. He's allowed to have his opinions and preferences, but man he pushes them super duper hard. 

The reality of the situation is that if GamePass was a selling point for Xbox, or price, or backwards compatibility, the Xbox One would have sold a lot better. That's just the fact of the matter. These are all good things, to be sure, but it's games that sell consoles. Gamepass is a good deal...but not for people who already own games. I have like 300 Gen 8 games between PS4, Switch, and Xbox One (Many are duplicates across generations and digital/physical), with very few I want but don't have. GamePass would MAYBE be worth it if I was just getting into gaming now, but that's not the case. People still like owning games, they still like physical copies, and they still like collecting. 

If not for my own desire to collect physical games, I'd actually consider PS5's discless version. I never thought I'd say that, but since I have so many digital copies and PS+ games...I'm probably ONLY going to use PS5 discs in the system and migrate my PS4 digital games over. 

I personally think the Discless PS5 is a better value than the Series S, and I don't even know the price of the PS5 yet! Why? IT still has all the speed and power that makes PS5 games stand out despite not having the raw power of the XSX. 



My Console Library:

PS5, Switch, XSX

PS4, PS3, PS2, PS1, WiiU, Wii, GCN, N64 SNES, XBO, 360

3DS, DS, GBA, Vita, PSP, Android

Runa216 said:
eva01beserk said:

You definetly have quantity part of the equation, but quality is not the same for everyone. Like You yourself have admited not everything has 100% penetration. I already used me as an example of why a person like me sees no value in gamepass. I would rather use that $180 a year in 3 games I know im going to like. So you saying now 200 games still means nothing for me if I still have no interest in any of them. 

You really cant take bias out of it wich is the thing. There are people that I know whos only reason to own a console is fifa. I kid you not but they only play fifa all year round. for them as well this means absolutly zero even with EA play, because it only adds the fifa from the previous year and a super fan will buy the latest fifa. Because thats the issue with yearly titles, as soon as the new version is out, the old one just dies on the spot. That for me is the main issue with gamepass. for me if they have big games that I would like, I probably already played it. I work and have family comitmets and other shit, I dont have time to play indy or other smaller games so for me only the big hitters matter. And im willing to bet that gaming demographic has shifted to where the main console gamers are in their 20's and 30's. So they are more likely to be in my situation. They would also be working so they have more tolerance of what value is considered. 

So far the only garanty market gamepass has in my opinion is children. And I will say that if that is the  case that will put a big quation mark on the type of games that MS will push with that demographic. 

I wouldn't get too involved with him. He's not a bad person but like 99% of his posts are him bending over backwards to sell people on Xbox and GamePass. He's allowed to have his opinions and preferences, but man he pushes them super duper hard. 

The reality of the situation is that if GamePass was a selling point for Xbox, or price, or backwards compatibility, the Xbox One would have sold a lot better. That's just the fact of the matter. These are all good things, to be sure, but it's games that sell consoles. Gamepass is a good deal...but not for people who already own games. I have like 300 Gen 8 games between PS4, Switch, and Xbox One (Many are duplicates across generations and digital/physical), with very few I want but don't have. GamePass would MAYBE be worth it if I was just getting into gaming now, but that's not the case. People still like owning games, they still like physical copies, and they still like collecting. 

If not for my own desire to collect physical games, I'd actually consider PS5's discless version. I never thought I'd say that, but since I have so many digital copies and PS+ games...I'm probably ONLY going to use PS5 discs in the system and migrate my PS4 digital games over. 

I personally think the Discless PS5 is a better value than the Series S, and I don't even know the price of the PS5 yet! Why? IT still has all the speed and power that makes PS5 games stand out despite not having the raw power of the XSX. 

Well I dont have a backlog like you, like I said to him, theres no way I could play that unless I quit my job. But yea the games I do have I do want to migrate them over to the ps5 so Im still invested into the ecosystem. 

I get what your saying it and it sounds correct. I cant see myself switching over, nor do I see anyone who mainly gamed on one 8th gen console due to their investment on either console. And gamepass also seems more atractive to people who havent gamed at all in at least the last 2 years. What I do see possible is people being atracted to the other console and wanting both. But if that is the case, then that hurts xbox the most as current xbox owners where not given a reason to upgrade yet as their console is still playing all games for at least 2021. So get a ps5 and keep your current xbox. While theres still games you need an ps5 to play.

Ill never go digital only untill there is no other option. Not because I collect or nostalgia or any of that, I just dont trust these big companies. they could cancel a server, they could limit your acces, drm and so much bullshit I just wont do it. I wont even play always online games, even tho my internet is very good.

I know about sales, he is always respectfull and as far as I can tell hes not baiting or being purpously dishonest. I know he bats hard for MS but he is resonable while being a fan, but who amongs us is perfect. I know I myself im stuck in my ways and probably wont see the world how he see's it. The are other xbox fans who I do avoid that are very toxic and cant even start a reply wiithout an insult. Ive lerned my leson from thouse others. 



It takes genuine talent to see greatness in yourself despite your absence of genuine talent.

If it is only 100 difference, it wont matter, if it is 200, It will.



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sales2099 said:
DonFerrari said:

Guess you are confusing price with value... PS games have plenty value and quality, but if you compare to GP sure it would seem costlier or higher price.

Quite simply I view value as “bang for buck”. You could pay $180 for 3 PS exclusives, or you can pay $180 for access to over 200 games in a year and clear as many as you can depending on your free time.

Latest example is Wasteland 3, or Outer Worlds. On PS4 you have to pay full price day 1 to play. I played them day 1 for a flat monthly fee but my gaming wasn’t limited to those either at the time. That’s value. 

The value aspect is on Xbox’s side no question. Personal preference is secondary to what is a black and white comparison. Which console gives more for less money? The answer should be obvious. 

Perhaps to you it is like that... for me value really depends on the content, if most of those 200 (isn't 100?) aren't of my liking then it is worthless at any price point. That is why I said you confused and is still confusing price with value.

You are doing simple math "180 per year/100 games = 1.8 USD per game", even if you won't play 100 games a year even if you liked all those games. That is determining price not value.

Why do you think Nintendo can keep their games at 60 USD for almost the whole gen while Fifa go half price like 2 months after release and 1/5 a year after release? It is because their userbase see the value of a Nintendo game being 60USD irrelevant of the age while Fifa userbase don't. So shoving "Gamepass is better value because it have 30x more games for the same price" over other throats simply isn't true. When only 20% of X1 userbase thought there was value in signing up even with those promotional prices you can tell the service isn't as valuable to everyone as it is for you. Price is the same for all, value isn't.



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Intrinsic said:
sales2099 said:

appealing at all. 

Yes... if by the quantity of titles available you see value in that there is no question there. But as I would always say with things like these, stuff like this is subjective. And is only an issue when people or anyone try and make them appear bigger than they actually are based on their preferences. 

Take for instance, you can say pay $15 for Gampass + XBL gold ($180/yr) and get access to a library of xyz games that would be added to each month as long as you stay subscribed, and I could say, pay $60/year for PS+ and get 4 free games every month for a total of 48 games every year. We can start talking about who or what offers more value. And thats where the subjective part comes in.

There are places I can go and get a LOT of food for $5, but that means nothing to me if I am only interested in food from the place that costs $10 but it offers less food.

YOu like most others (and this happens at the start of every gen) seem to think Gamepas (thats the form this phenomenon has taken this gen) is going to be a lot more than it's going to be. Because "on paper" it just seems to make sense. And will think its the best thing to happen since sliced bread. That's your opinion, and I respect that, I just don't agree with it. I think people care a lot less for it than you think, especially being that this is something that's been there for the at 3 years. Its not like its a new thing. And thats the pro backing what I am saying. What difference has it made in the current-gen thus far? And why do you now think that it would suddenly make all the difference with next-gen?

Why? any argument or case that can be made for GP for next-gen, can also be made for it for current-gen. Unless you really believe that GP couldn't sell XB1s cause everyone already had a PS4 and thus didn't need to buy a new console. And to that, I would say since GP started in 2017, sony has gone on to sell 50M+ more PS4s.

GamingRabbit said:

My guess is:
XBox Series S outsells PS5 all digital
PS5 (disc drive) outsells XBox Series X
PS5 disc + digital combined outsell XBox Series X + S combined

Live Gold also gives you 4 free games per month on top of GP but I see your point. It’s just hard to see how all it offers just doesn’t appeal to someone, more often then not if you can find at least a few-several games to play every year, depending on how new they are you allready made the sub worth while. 

And sure you prefer PS exclusives. Nothing wrong with that. That’s not value paying full price. That’s standard industry practice paying full price to play a game. Value is getting more for the money you pay. So when you get more things bundled at no extra charge, that’s the very definition as opposed to doing what gamers have been doing for decades. 

Like you said it’s unfortunate it’s climbing against the popular trend with PlayStation being the dominant brand for several years. Doesn’t matter how good a service is sometimes when the competition has the mindshare. 

Last edited by sales2099 - on 10 September 2020

Xbox: Best hardware, Game Pass best value, best BC, more 1st party genres and multiplayer titles. 

 

DonFerrari said:
sales2099 said:

Quite simply I view value as “bang for buck”. You could pay $180 for 3 PS exclusives, or you can pay $180 for access to over 200 games in a year and clear as many as you can depending on your free time.

Latest example is Wasteland 3, or Outer Worlds. On PS4 you have to pay full price day 1 to play. I played them day 1 for a flat monthly fee but my gaming wasn’t limited to those either at the time. That’s value. 

The value aspect is on Xbox’s side no question. Personal preference is secondary to what is a black and white comparison. Which console gives more for less money? The answer should be obvious. 

Perhaps to you it is like that... for me value really depends on the content, if most of those 200 (isn't 100?) aren't of my liking then it is worthless at any price point. That is why I said you confused and is still confusing price with value.

You are doing simple math "180 per year/100 games = 1.8 USD per game", even if you won't play 100 games a year even if you liked all those games. That is determining price not value.

Why do you think Nintendo can keep their games at 60 USD for almost the whole gen while Fifa go half price like 2 months after release and 1/5 a year after release? It is because their userbase see the value of a Nintendo game being 60USD irrelevant of the age while Fifa userbase don't. So shoving "Gamepass is better value because it have 30x more games for the same price" over other throats simply isn't true. When only 20% of X1 userbase thought there was value in signing up even with those promotional prices you can tell the service isn't as valuable to everyone as it is for you. Price is the same for all, value isn't.

I counted just for you Don, you good people. 249 games as of this post on GP. EA Play adding 60 something games when it merges. You don’t have to play them all, nor can you. You play the games you want to play. And given the high number, the odds of finding what you like dramatically improve. 

I’m not going to give you all the AAA games and the 80+ Metacritic scores of every game on GP. Quality is implied, you can’t have a service grow if everything is shovelware. And leave Nintendo out of this, their pricing of games years later is downright criminal lol. 

It’s a new thing, gaming is not used to a sub model for games. But I tell you once your in it changes your whole perspective. It’s very hard to make a argument that nothing it offers will appeal to people. I just don’t see paying full price even for a game you want as value, as it’s just standard procedure. Value is getting a game you want for cheaper then full price. 



Xbox: Best hardware, Game Pass best value, best BC, more 1st party genres and multiplayer titles. 

 

Runa216 said:
eva01beserk said:

So far the only garanty market gamepass has in my opinion is children. And I will say that if that is the  case that will put a big quation mark on the type of games that MS will push with that demographic. 

I wouldn't get too involved with him. He's not a bad person but like 99% of his posts are him bending over backwards to sell people on Xbox and GamePass. He's allowed to have his opinions and preferences, but man he pushes them super duper hard. 

The reality of the situation is that if GamePass was a selling point for Xbox, or price, or backwards compatibility, the Xbox One would have sold a lot better. That's just the fact of the matter. These are all good things, to be sure, but it's games that sell consoles. Gamepass is a good deal...but not for people who already own games. out despite not having the raw power of the XSX. 

For what I’ve played in the last 2 years, I would have spent several hundreds more had I played the multiplats alone if I had a PlayStation. Sorry I sound like a walking ad lol, but as an adult with a mortgage and family it’s a nice thing to play what you want and save your money for other things at the same time.

Otherwise, I’m sure you can think of many situations where a superior product doesn’t necessarily mean they are the market leader. I’ll say it: Sony has a longer and richer history in the industry. They are consistent, they have the peoples trust and confidence on their side. They have all the mindshare compared to Xbox. Xbox has to be objectively better going forward to just be considered as an option compared to PlayStation. Doesn’t matter how good Xbox does or what they offer: it’s not PlayStation if that’s what core gamers today are used to. 

But ultimately people like PS for their 1st party and that’s something Xbox can’t replicate so end of day I recognize that as well. 

Last edited by sales2099 - on 10 September 2020

Xbox: Best hardware, Game Pass best value, best BC, more 1st party genres and multiplayer titles. 

 

sales2099 said:
Runa216 said:

I wouldn't get too involved with him. He's not a bad person but like 99% of his posts are him bending over backwards to sell people on Xbox and GamePass. He's allowed to have his opinions and preferences, but man he pushes them super duper hard. 

The reality of the situation is that if GamePass was a selling point for Xbox, or price, or backwards compatibility, the Xbox One would have sold a lot better. That's just the fact of the matter. These are all good things, to be sure, but it's games that sell consoles. Gamepass is a good deal...but not for people who already own games. out despite not having the raw power of the XSX. 

For what I’ve played in the last 2 years, I would have spent several hundreds more had I played the multiplats alone if I had a PlayStation. Sorry I sound like a walking ad lol, but as an adult with a mortgage and family it’s a nice thing to play what you want and save your money for other things at the same time.

Otherwise, I’m sure you can think of many situations where a superior product doesn’t necessarily mean they are the market leader. I’ll say it: Sony has a longer and richer history in the industry. They are consistent, they have the peoples trust and confidence on their side. They have all the mindshare compared to Xbox. Xbox has to be objectively better going forward to just be considered as an option compared to PlayStation. Doesn’t matter how good Xbox does or what they offer: it’s not PlayStation if that’s what core gamers today are used to. 

But ultimately people like PS for their 1st party and that’s something Xbox can’t replicate so end of day I recognize that as well. 

That's great for you and all, but GamePass doesn't exist in a vacuum. If it did, yeah it'd be a great deal. However, there are a tonne of external factors that make it so that, while the deal is good, it's not as appealing as you think to most people. As I said, people still like hard copies. They already have a bunch of games on the gamepass. They like to chose what games they have. Not all games will appeal to all people. You still have to buy an Xbox for it or get a higher-end PC. 

The point is, on paper Gamepass is amazing! IT's the netflix of games! PRoblem is, we still live in a world where games could come or go from the service, people still care about ownership of their games, and most people who could afford GamePass already have most or all of the games they want. 

I personally seriously considered getting gamepass, but then I remembered I hate gaming subscription models, I wouldn't get anything out of it since I tend to not really care about Xbox exclusives, and the only reason I was considering it was to try what amounted to a demo for Sea of Thieves so I could play with my brother. Just like my Xbox One, I'd get it, and it'd sit in the corner not getting any use for years on end. IT'd just be a drain on my funds. So yeah, there's more to it than just 'pay x dollars per month, get hundreds of free games!', which is why it's not pushing consoles as well as it seems like it would on paper. 

That's why, as much as the Series S sounds like a good mid-gen jump from the 8th, I just don't think it will matter. In the end, exclusives clearly matter and it seems Microsoft is doing everything in their power to convince the world otherwise. 



My Console Library:

PS5, Switch, XSX

PS4, PS3, PS2, PS1, WiiU, Wii, GCN, N64 SNES, XBO, 360

3DS, DS, GBA, Vita, PSP, Android