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Forums - Sales - Will the Nintendo Switch overtake the PS4 in terms of sales worldwide?

I am starting to see that maybe the switch will actually pass the ps4, not due to the amazing Switch sales in the present, but rather that Sony is clearly focusing on profits over hardware sales. Not that that is a bad thing but the ps4 could be way higher now. Not fully convinced yet though



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Pyro as Bill said:

Q4 difference is missing a decimal point.

Thanks Fixed



MasonADC said:
I am starting to see that maybe the switch will actually pass the ps4, not due to the amazing Switch sales in the present, but rather that Sony is clearly focusing on profits over hardware sales. Not that that is a bad thing but the ps4 could be way higher now. Not fully convinced yet though

Nintendo is doing the same, they might be the first company to never Give a console a price cut during its life cycle, it’s already been 3 and half years and no price cut in sight!!



tbone51 said:
MasonADC said:
I am starting to see that maybe the switch will actually pass the ps4, not due to the amazing Switch sales in the present, but rather that Sony is clearly focusing on profits over hardware sales. Not that that is a bad thing but the ps4 could be way higher now. Not fully convinced yet though

Nintendo is doing the same, they might be the first company to never Give a console a price cut during its life cycle, it’s already been 3 and half years and no price cut in sight!!

Yup, said it in another topic but it's the same price currently than the PS4 after it's price cut a little before it was 3 years old.



At first only a couple days before I didn't think it was likely the Switch would outsell it because the Nintendo systems usually don't have long legs compared to Playstation consoles. However, after seeing this recent quarter and realizing how the Switch has the potential to sell 30M in this fiscal year alone and its been growing YoY entering its fourth year, its showing me that the Switch is gonna sell for a long time because even if sales drop next year, its gonna take a while for the Switch to completely die off in sales. For example, let's say the Switch sells a conservative 25 Million this fiscal year, the Switch would be at 81M by March 2020 and lets say after this fiscal year the Switch starts slowing down exactly like the Wii did after selling 25M. If the Switch slowed down the exact way the Wii did(Which By many is believed to fall off a cliff) The Switch would end up selling 132M units, which definitely could put it above PS4 numbers. And that's ASSUMING the Switch slows down exactly like the Wii did, which seems less likely to happen to the Switch since the Switch will continuously get software support from both handheld and console divisions, multiple revisions are likely coming to increase sales, and Switch is essentially a handheld where we're more likely to see one portable device per person rather than per household. Also, unlike the Wii's main gimmick of motion controls that got boring quick, the Switch's main gimmick of being a hybrid home/portable console is timeless and will always be appealing. So its seems like the Switch will have an even LARGER lifespan than the Wii, which would likely put the Switch's total over 132 Million.

So as a result, I think the Switch will outsell the PS4



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xMetroid said:
Cobretti2 said:
Not unless we get more support over the next two to three years and a few limited edition models so the collectors repurchase the console (i.e. 3DS was master of this, I think I have about 30 of the limited edition ones, but 1 switch so far).

We saw what happen with Wii, was full steam ahead then it halted straight away. That was due to the lack of quality games to keep that momentum flowing.

It was also due to the quick rise of HD TV in society and the Wii vs X360/PS3 comparisons were harsh bc of that. Casual players quickly let it die and gamers didn't like the remote controls. 

Here this is a totally different situation. Switch is peaking in it's fourth year, it won't free fall next year or the other. Probably going to have a steady decline. They have so many options to keep the sales from sinking.

I agree the situation is different, and they have many options to keep them going. However Nintendo has a way of doing things that buck the trends lol.

If they smart they ride the wave and like you said utilise some of their options to keep sales going. If they can stretch out the Switch for another 3-4 years hopefully by the time Switch 2 comes it is better from an OS perspective, feature perspective, and has a  full on implementation of DLSS 3.0. This is the only way I can see them able to bridge the gap to their competitors to allow a comparable experience (gaming and media) that may in turn mean more 3rd party support.



 

 

I believe sony is not really trying to sell more PS4s. This is evident in the fact that it is still $299 and has been so for almost 4 years.

Anyways, the simple answer is, Yes. Assuming however there isn't a switch 2 in 3 years.

Keep in mind, that around 2023 (when I expect to see a Switch 2, the PS4 would be at around 125M-130M units sold. So yeah, I m expecting PS4 to sell only like 10-15M over the next 2 - 3 years. This means that when looking at the NS sales, you aren't just looking at it doing 110M+ units, you looking at it ultimately doing around 125-130M sales. Which I believe it ould still do tough even if there is a switch 2.

All the data suggest though that it's tracking very closely (though ahead by a mil or so to the PS4. So there is no reason it shouldn't sell as much or more in the same time frame. Furthermore, it doesn't really have any competition. Like, imagine a world with no Xbox, right now the PS4 would be sitting at around 140M in sales at least. You can clearly and comfortably say that anyone buying a PS4/5 would need to choose between it and the Xbox, but no one looking to buy a Switch decides to instead get a PS or Xbox. Very different types of gaming consoles.



tbone51 said:
MasonADC said:
I am starting to see that maybe the switch will actually pass the ps4, not due to the amazing Switch sales in the present, but rather that Sony is clearly focusing on profits over hardware sales. Not that that is a bad thing but the ps4 could be way higher now. Not fully convinced yet though

Nintendo is doing the same, they might be the first company to never Give a console a price cut during its life cycle, it’s already been 3 and half years and no price cut in sight!!

I realize that too but its still PROBABLY gonna happen eventually...I hope



MasonADC said:
tbone51 said:

Nintendo is doing the same, they might be the first company to never Give a console a price cut during its life cycle, it’s already been 3 and half years and no price cut in sight!!

I realize that too but its still PROBABLY gonna happen eventually...I hope

If a pro did come out I can see a single price cut for both models but only once. OG NSW $249.99 and Lite $179.99 (or $169.99). 



Looking at the data now its probable, if the Switch has a long life cycle.



Please excuse my (probally) poor grammar