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Forums - Sales Discussion - Predict when Switch will enter the Top 10

Imma say June 2021, Nintendo for the fiscal year between March 2020-March 2021 is forecasting to ship 19M Switch's which would put the Switch at 75M by March 2021.

However, it should be fairly obvious that Nintendo's 19M forecast is extremely conservative for this fiscal year as the Switch is currentlythe fastest selling systems of all time year to date thanks to Covid/Switch Lite, and AC. So a fiscal year of 23M is more likely between March 2020-2021, putting the Switch at 79M by March 2021, and I'm sure Nintendo could sell 2-3M units between March and June 2021 to surpass the PSP in total sales by June 2021.



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2019



I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.

October 2021



I have (or have/had in the household): ZX-81, Commidore 64, Amega, Sega Master System, Super Nintendo, Sega Megadrive, Gameboy, Playstation, Nintendo 64, Windows 95, Gameboy Colour, Windows 98, Sega Dreamcast, Gameboy Advance, PS2, Gamecube, Xbox, Windows XP, Nintendo DS, Xbox 360, Wii, PS3, Windows Vista, iPhone, Windows 7, 3DS, Wii U, PS4, Windows 10 & PSVR. Plus, I will be getting the New Nintendo Switch sometime in 2019 :D

and I Don't have: Magnovox Odyssey, Any Atari's, Any Macintosh computers, Nes, Sega Gamegear, Virtual Boy, Sega Saturn, N-gage, Xbox One, PSP, PSVita & Andoid Phone. Plus any non-main-stream consoles/platforms I haven't mentioned.

Never, sales will fall really quick and won't beat PSP.



2020 predictions: NSW 25m, PS5 6m, XSX 4.5m, PS4 9m, XB1 3m

In December 2019 i predicted 21m Switch, but that was before COVID, obvius increased my predictions.

Ryng said:
Never, sales will fall really quick and won't beat PSP.

I see what you did there.



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Should be at #10 around September 2021 and #7 when the year ends.



I can see it doing the deed by summer 2021.



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

I say by September 2021. That's another 15 months to move about 22 million units which is very doable.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 125 million (was 73, then 96, then 113 million)

PS5: 105 million Xbox Series S/X: 60 million

PS4: 122 mil (was 100 then 130 million) Xbox One: 50 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima

NightlyPoe said:
I'll go with August 2021.

I second this one



Whenever BotW2 drops, we will see a massive spike that could throw it up there. If it drops this holiday, it could happen by year's end. More realistically, if it drops March 2021 then it will reach it by June. If it does not drop by then, I will jump on the Sep 2021 bandwagon.



Nintendo Switch Friend Code: SW-5643-2927-1984

Animal Crossing NH Dream Address: DA-1078-9916-3261