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Forums - Sales Discussion - Nintendo Switch shipped 55.77m by March 31st. Lifetime sales expectations?

 

Nintendo Switch shipped 55.77m by March 31st. Lifetime sales expectations?

Less than 80 million 71 5.77%
 
80.0 - 89.9 million 87 7.07%
 
90.0 - 99.9 million 148 12.02%
 
100.0 - 109.9 million 322 26.16%
 
110.0 - 119.9 million 228 18.52%
 
120.0 - 129.9 million 191 15.52%
 
130.0 - 139.9 million 60 4.87%
 
140.0 - 149.9 million 28 2.27%
 
150.0 - 160.0 million 21 1.71%
 
More than 160 million 75 6.09%
 
Total:1,231

As I said way back in October 2016, being the first one brave enough to declare so, it will do at least 100 million.



My (locked) thread about how difficulty should be a decision for the developers, not the gamers.

https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=241866&page=1

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Has the potential to be the best selling system of all time. It already has several titles that are approaching "evergreen" status which is insane for how young the system is. This system proves that good gameplay is still king.

We currently have 4 total (2 OG/2 Lites). If they came out with a dedicated console version we would likely get 2 to 4 of those as well.



Nintendo with the Switch:

I’m going for the Big 150mil mark as I’m a person that believes Nintendo doesn’t need a replacement and can keep pumping out a ton of software and not waste NSW potential.

It’s going to outpace the PS4 slightly this year so anyone guessing under 120mil at this point.... come on now lol. Safe guess should be 130mil at this point imo

along these opti lines...

Fiscal Year

2020 - 77.7mil
2021 - 97.2mil
2022 - 115.5mil
2023 - 129.5mil
2024 - 139mil
2025 - 144mil (NSW2 spring launch)

Last edited by tbone51 - on 01 June 2020

bonus question: have 1 currently, my first I gave to a friend and I plan on nbuying the lite for my girl in a few months.


I’ll buy an upgrade one in the future



I'll go with 120-125 million.



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I expect it to reach the 115m mark, but I'm not sure it'll go much higher than that. I'm nearly certain it will outsell the Wii at this point though, I think we're looking at a massive success here.



100-110m me thinks



So 20 people so far voted that it won't sell another 22.6 million more between now and it's discontinuation. Would any of these folks like to explain their reasoning?



curl-6 said:

So 20 people so far voted that it won't sell another 22.6 million more between now and it's discontinuation. Would any of these folks like to explain their reasoning?

Wii cliff.



Nov 2016 - NES outsells PS1 (JP)

Don't Play Stationary 4 ever. Switch!

Pyro as Bill said:
curl-6 said:

So 20 people so far voted that it won't sell another 22.6 million more between now and it's discontinuation. Would any of these folks like to explain their reasoning?

Wii cliff.

????