Really difficult to say. Animal crossing titles usually depend on legendary legs but this time, the launch period has literally blown all the other AC games out of the water! Will the launch sales ultimately affect the legs? If not, possibly upwards of 40m. If so, then probably we should still expect around 28m+. I'll say somewhere in the middle, so around 34m LT.

30M+ for sure but I have no idea how far it will go. Depends a lot on the updates that Nintendo has planned I think.

Also lol@ the almost 20% that voted less than 20M. I would like to know their reasoning behind that answer.

I feel anyone doubting 30m at this point is deluding themselves. This had the biggest Nintendo launch in history and will have strong evergreen legs to boot.

Thinking 35m atm.

And I would like to know why nobody answers the bonus question in this thread.

30.1 - 32.5 million. I know the launch has be insane, and higher numbers are certainly possible. But unless Nintendo starts to bundle it with Switch consoles, I don't see it reaching Super Mario Bros. levels (40 million plus).

As for the bonus question. Yes, it does bug me (pun intended). Games need to be as polished and complete as possible when launching. I don't see how Art and Crazy Redd took over a month after the game launched. Thankfully, I haven't experienced any glitches, though.

haha yeah and apparently as of now like ~47% of the votes are from trolls who say its gonna do under 25 million. That seems high though. Maybe some people just really haven't thought it through.

I voted the 30.1 - 32.5 option. I could see it finishing just under 30 million, but I do think it'll probably barely pass 30 million but not get close to 35mil.

Let's see 2020 20mil, 2021 25mil, 2022 28mil, 2023, 30mil, 2024, 31mil yeah that sounds about right.

haha bold as always. So lemme get this straight. After selling 1.64mil in April you think its gonna sell another 5.89mil this quarter, averaging 2.94mil in May and June. wow! Totaling 2.94 for May and June would be great and I could see it getting close to that but doing that much each month is, well, beyond even a tbone-like prediction! You may as well say it's gonna sell 50 million lifetime.

The majority of votes is coming from people who don't read the forums, so it's understandable that they wouldn't be aware of how sales develop over time.

11.77mil was shipped+digital, so let’s say 11.30mil was sell thru since most places were sold out, 13.41mil is missing some sales as people discussed. Said to be 10-15% missing so let’s go with a conservative 10% (Canada/South America/Asia outside of Japan missing in this figure) that would total up to about 14.75mil sell thru. That’s actually more like an estimate of 3mil selling with 1mil on store shelves or more roughly 16mil. May+June could have an extra 3mil for ship and digital.

18mil sound more like the safe bet but I’ll go with 19.5mil