TBH I can't believe an entire video game industry prediction firm composed of people who research the video game industry for a living still manage to make predictions and assumptions so stupid, and way more stupid than these predictions you'll find on a gaming forum like this composed of just regular people who do this as a hobby. How in the hell do you spend your life researching the gaming industry to still think smartphone games and irrelevant companies like Google & Apple are a threat to the Switch's success. Forecasting the Switch to sell 17 Million in 2019 with a new Switch Lite model and the first true Pokemon game was a laughably low prediction when 2018 sold 17 Million.

I remember seing some analyst say that Animal Crossing: New Horizons would sell 10mil lifetime in early March 2020. While not as monumentally stupid as this thread's subject article I still struggle to comprehend the thought process behind this prediction. Why would ACNH sell several millions less than New Leaf and Wild World? After the Switch was already selling faster than the 3DS with generally higher attachrates for it's games abd several franchises already being their series best sellers. With the immense hype around the game back then.
I just don't get it. I think I would have predicted 15mil back then.

Ugh, classi Shadow post, missing everybody's point and the actual evidences to make sure his narrative fits, and then "I don't wanna deal with this anymore". So yeah, I guess the best thing to do is to move forward

I think I was predicting above 17 million for the Switch version, with 20 million being possible, but not a prediction I was confident about enough to claim unless everything went right.

If anyone claimed 30 million I would have thought they were joking, let alone 35 million.

For sure. Over 30mil was unimaginable back then. But why would anyone expect it to sell below the previous two games?

Looks like DFC intelligence really has more of a CSA intellect. The kind that will get your ass kicked every time.

Not really because if someone said they don't think it would sell 100m then okay but to sell below 60 was a tall order because before NS launched we already knew it would at least have a monopoly on the portable market and 3DS was already at 65m and Vita around 14m meaning 60-80m was always going to be a thing as 3DS and Vita owners would have to go somewhere.

What the fuck was I thinking with this post? CSA = Confederate States of America. Do Americans even know what that means? The stupid things I’ll think are funny when I’m high :D