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Forums - Politics - Official 2020 US Presidential Election Thread



Spares us the wasted time.



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Gap news
Pennsylvania: 205k
Georgia: 44k


Time to grab some popcorn.



37k votes from Georgias democratic counties left to be counted.



Re: Pennsylvania, Kornacki on MSNBC just reported Biden is winning mail-in ballots by huge margins in the blue counties, but is also winning the remaining red county mail-in by up to 10%. He's down by 200k with almost 900k expected ballots left to be counted, which is enough for up to a 300k margin swing to Biden, and win him the state.



Chris Hu said:
Hiku said:

Every capitalistic developed country on the planet has universal healthcare. Except USA.
People in USA have been taught to correlate it to 'socialism'. So instead of talking about Japan, Australia, Norway, Canada, Spain, U.K, etc, there's one crowd that instead brings up undeveloped dictatorships like Cuba and Venezuela.

Venezuela isn't a dictatorship either Nicolas Maduro gained power by being elected not a military coupe.

You mean in an election when he arrested most of the opposition before banning them so that he basically ran unopposed? Also, Maduro is ruling by decree - definitely more of a sign of a dictatorship than a democracy.

Last edited by SecondWar - on 04 November 2020

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Georgia dropped below 1% difference between Biden and Trump, Pennsylvania difference down to 200k votes now

Last edited by Bofferbrauer2 - on 04 November 2020

If you've seen a screenshot purporting to show an overnight Michigan update going 100% for Biden, you should know it was due to a typographical error when plugging the data into the state's reporting system, which has since been corrected. No "rigged" votes here.

https://web.archive.org/web/20201104235504/https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/04/tech/false-michigan-election-map/index.html



I did some math comparing 538 polls and the results (as of now on NYT). 

Result  Polls  Difference Poll Lean
Alaska -30 -7.7 22.3 D
Arizona 3 2.6 -0.4 R
Colorado 14 12.5 -1.5 R
Georgia -0.9 1.2 2.1 D
Indiana -19 -10.8 8.2 D
Iowa -8 -1.3 6.7 D
Kansas -16 -12.9 3.1 D
Maine 11 13 2 D
Michigan 2 7.9 5.9 D
Minnesota 7 9.2 2.2 D
Montana -16 -4.4 11.6 D
Nevada 0.6 5.3 4.7 D
New Hamp 8 11.1 3.1 D
N Carolina -1.4 1.8 3.2 D
Ohio -8 -0.8 7.2 D
Pennsylvania -3 4.7 7.7 D
S Carolina -12 -7.1 4.9 D
Texas -6 -1.1 4.9 D
Utah -20 -9.8 10.2 D
Virginia 9 11.8 2.8 D
Wisconsin 0.6 8.4 7.8 D
Average 4.82

I excluded Alaska from the average because there are so few votes counted, but overall there was a 4.82 point Dem lean in the state polls for all states deemed "Lean" or "Toss Up" (I don't think this is too far out of the expected range as an average). I expect this to shrink as more mail in ballots are counted and things swing a little more to the left, but it is real interesting.

Particularly, I am baffled by the Midwest block. Some of the polls were pretty good (Minnesota and likely PA), but others were waaay off. How in the hell did that happen?

EDIT: Positive results are Dem leaning, negative are Rep leaning.

Last edited by sundin13 - on 04 November 2020

Trump's been in full in full damge control I see.