Jim Acosta reports that the Trump campaign has given up on the Wisconsin recount. pic.twitter.com/EPNydeRgKh
— Sarah Reese Jones (@PoliticusSarah) November 4, 2020
Spares us the wasted time.
Jim Acosta reports that the Trump campaign has given up on the Wisconsin recount. pic.twitter.com/EPNydeRgKh
— Sarah Reese Jones (@PoliticusSarah) November 4, 2020
Gap news
Pennsylvania: 205k
Georgia: 44k
Time to grab some popcorn.

Re: Pennsylvania, Kornacki on MSNBC just reported Biden is winning mail-in ballots by huge margins in the blue counties, but is also winning the remaining red county mail-in by up to 10%. He's down by 200k with almost 900k expected ballots left to be counted, which is enough for up to a 300k margin swing to Biden, and win him the state.
Chris Hu said:
Venezuela isn't a dictatorship either Nicolas Maduro gained power by being elected not a military coupe. |

You mean in an election when he arrested most of the opposition before banning them so that he basically ran unopposed? Also, Maduro is ruling by decree - definitely more of a sign of a dictatorship than a democracy.
Last edited by SecondWar - on 04 November 2020
Georgia dropped below 1% difference between Biden and Trump, Pennsylvania difference down to 200k votes now
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If you've seen a screenshot purporting to show an overnight Michigan update going 100% for Biden, you should know it was due to a typographical error when plugging the data into the state's reporting system, which has since been corrected. No "rigged" votes here.
https://web.archive.org/web/20201104235504/https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/04/tech/false-michigan-election-map/index.html
I did some math comparing 538 polls and the results (as of now on NYT).
| Result | Polls | Difference | Poll Lean | |
| Alaska | -30 | -7.7 | 22.3 | D |
| Arizona | 3 | 2.6 | -0.4 | R |
| Colorado | 14 | 12.5 | -1.5 | R |
| Georgia | -0.9 | 1.2 | 2.1 | D |
| Indiana | -19 | -10.8 | 8.2 | D |
| Iowa | -8 | -1.3 | 6.7 | D |
| Kansas | -16 | -12.9 | 3.1 | D |
| Maine | 11 | 13 | 2 | D |
| Michigan | 2 | 7.9 | 5.9 | D |
| Minnesota | 7 | 9.2 | 2.2 | D |
| Montana | -16 | -4.4 | 11.6 | D |
| Nevada | 0.6 | 5.3 | 4.7 | D |
| New Hamp | 8 | 11.1 | 3.1 | D |
| N Carolina | -1.4 | 1.8 | 3.2 | D |
| Ohio | -8 | -0.8 | 7.2 | D |
| Pennsylvania | -3 | 4.7 | 7.7 | D |
| S Carolina | -12 | -7.1 | 4.9 | D |
| Texas | -6 | -1.1 | 4.9 | D |
| Utah | -20 | -9.8 | 10.2 | D |
| Virginia | 9 | 11.8 | 2.8 | D |
| Wisconsin | 0.6 | 8.4 | 7.8 | D |
| Average | 4.82 |
I excluded Alaska from the average because there are so few votes counted, but overall there was a 4.82 point Dem lean in the state polls for all states deemed "Lean" or "Toss Up" (I don't think this is too far out of the expected range as an average). I expect this to shrink as more mail in ballots are counted and things swing a little more to the left, but it is real interesting.
Particularly, I am baffled by the Midwest block. Some of the polls were pretty good (Minnesota and likely PA), but others were waaay off. How in the hell did that happen?
EDIT: Positive results are Dem leaning, negative are Rep leaning.
Last edited by sundin13 - on 04 November 2020
Trump's been in full in full damge control I see.
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