Pokemon SwSh is less likely to cross the 25 mil mark than BOTW and SSBU.
Why is pokemon less likely to hit 25 mil? Last nintendo shipment update to dec 31 had SSBU at 17.68M BOTW at 16.34M and Pokemon SW/SH at 16.06
Pokemon was the last to release and is almost catching up to the others. In the Famitsu numbers it has outsold the other two in january and february so at least in japan is still selling faster and if the ww numbers are similar in ratio it should be above zelda in the next update.
Zelda BOTW is at 18.01M
The answer is North America market where Zelda BOTW has charted 32 months out of 34 months since it was released on the market.
In some European countries Zelda BOTW is already charting above Pokemon SwSh in weekly basis.
There's no doubt in Japan Pokemon SwSh outsells BOTW greatly but on the ROTW Zelda BOTW is remaining strong while SwSh is already struggling to keep up with the pace.
Pokemon is also very front load seller.
That exactly what happened during SMO vs BOTW in 2018.
SMO had opened at 9M while BOTW switch+WiiU was at 8.2, fast forward SMO is at 16.59M even with official bundled + Mario theme sales promotion while BOTW is at 18.01 without having none of SMO kind of sales deal.
If 3D Mario failed to keep up with BOTW's legs then Pokemon with much worse reputation in that part will performs much worse.
Smash Ultimate, on the other hand, is performing insanely well in NA and doing greatly in Japan.
Last edited by LGBTDBZBBQ - on 25 February 2020