Agreed. 10M should be 100% doable this year. 11M-12M if there's a deep price cut. That would put it at ~119M-121M. Hard not to see it shipping another 10M in the 3 years after that.
Problem is that not only those sold through predictions are unrealistically optimistic, it also ignores actual sold through vs shipped logic. Ps4 sold around 106m by the end of 2019 and an old console will have less and less difference between shipped and sold through until discontinuation. Should expect something like 8-8.5m this year and exponential drops every year after that.
Nu-13, thats not unrealistic at all, to ship 11m in 2020 would be expected imo.
Neither is 10m more over 3years alot.
PS4 is still tracking ahead of the PS2 launch aligned.
Im not saying that will always be true, however the race isnt over yet, theres plenty of life and sales yet to come in the PS4.
"Should expect something like 8-8.5m this year and exponential drops every year after that." - Nu-13
You think it will go from 14,7m -> 8m ? (2019->2020)
Even if XB2 / PS5 launch at say 500$? and maybe PS4 gets a price cut? nah dude, thats too much of a nose dive.
I bet you ll be pleasently surprised end of 2020.
I'd expect it to do over 12m in 2020 (shipped).
"2019 is the 2nd biggest year ever for PlayStation with over $18.72B in Revenue"
^ 2019 was a "slow" year, end of console life cycle.
However next year, theres like a price cut + FF7R + TLoU p2 + CyberPunk 2077.
2020 will probably be alot like 2019 was, hardware sales wise.
Last edited by JRPGfan - on 04 February 2020
That said I was wrong about 2019, I expected it to do like 15-16m.... however without a price cut just didnt happend.
2020 That has to happend, well before the PS5 launches.