Forums - Sales Discussion - Update: Pokemon Sword/Shield sells 2 million in first 3 days in Japan, doubles Switch hardware to 180k

That's a wrong logic. Digital sales are much bigger now but this is at cost of physical copies numbers.



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RolStoppable said:
NateH said:
Yep, Japan is at two million already, above Diamond and Pearl's 1,588,734, about the same as Sun and Moon's 1,905,107 first three days.

Guess all the doom and gloom early in the thread didn't align with reality.

Now that we have a Sword/Shield number including digital sales, an estimate for digital sales should be added where applicable when we compare Sword/Shield's 2m to the other games.

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9076782

X/Y was released at a time when simultaneous physical + digital releases were still in their infancy on Nintendo consoles, Sun/Moon was better off, but I still wouldn't put its digital share above 10% because that's about the value where Switch started from in 2017.

Including an estimate for digital sales:

Black/White - ~2.6m
X/Y - ~2.2m
Sun/Moon - ~2.1m
Sword/Shield - ~2m

A decline is still there, but Sword/Shield's high digital share makes the decline considerably smaller than zorg1000's conservative estimate in the post linked above.

I read somewhere that sun and moon digital hit 100k Ltd in Japan so digital wasn’t even close to 5%



tbone51 said:

I read somewhere that sun and moon digital hit 100k Ltd in Japan so digital wasn’t even close to 5%

Zhuugex tweet says S&M sold 2m FW in Japan, 1.9m on famitsu, so 100k digital FW.



Barkley said:
tbone51 said:

I read somewhere that sun and moon digital hit 100k Ltd in Japan so digital wasn’t even close to 5%

Zhuugex tweet says S&M sold 2m FW in Japan, 1.9m on famitsu, so 100k digital FW.

A tie between Sun/Moon and Sword/Shield it is then.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

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Barkley said:
zorg1000 said:

They give sell through percentage

Can't see that in the same document, link please!

Sorry, I should have specified, Famitsu gives out sell through percentage along with retail sales.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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Barkley said:
tbone51 said:

I read somewhere that sun and moon digital hit 100k Ltd in Japan so digital wasn’t even close to 5%

Zhuugex tweet says S&M sold 2m FW in Japan, 1.9m on famitsu, so 100k digital FW.

Ok thanks for the correction 



zorg1000 said:
Barkley said:

Can't see that in the same document, link please!

Sorry, I should have specified, Famitsu gives out sell through percentage along with retail sales.

Ah yes thanks. Unfortunately not too accurate though. They give Mario Maker's sell-through ratio as 80% to 100%.

So for Mario Maker 2:

Ratio Sell-Through Sold-Through Digital Sell-Through Shipped (not sold-through) Digital Ratio
80.00% 644k 70k 166k 8.00%
90.00% 644k 164k 72k 18.60%
100.00% 644k 236k 0k 26.80%

I guess the midground of 90% is the best way to go, which would give a digital ratio of 18.6% for Mario Maker 2.

Not really needed now we have actual figures given, but interesting anyway lol.



It outsold Super Mario Sunshine, Super Mario 3D World, New Super Mario Bros U and Sonic the Hedgehog 2 in only 3 days.

This may be a pointless comparison but its just a reminder to myself how insane such a performance is.



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So Pokemon has found a ~2 million opening week baseline in Japan

X/Y-2.1m (2013)
S/M-1.9m (2016)
Sw/Sh-2.0m (2019)



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

OP/thread title will be updated to reflect new info, thanks for providing guys



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.