I don't know about that, maybe in the short term the lite will sell better but I think in the long run the normal model will probably sell better. Japan may be an exception to this.

Thats correct. Even the WiiU stumbled out the gate. We cannot expect next gen to repeat the same offenders and yes, Halo Infinite is confirmed to be a launch game for Scarlett so there is 1 killer App already planned.

Yeah, it really depends on what additional models are launched, whether the pricegap remains similair etc. If both systems stayed at $299/$199 respectively and there were no new models I think the Lite would take over 50% of sales from now until the end, too big a price difference. But there's many things that can happen over the next 4-5 years such as the price gap getting smaller or a "Switch XL/Pro" that could easily put the more expensive Switch back as the primary seller. Japan should be a lock-in for Lite dominance though.

Yes. I will probably take both at the end.

Can someone fire the person in charge of code names at Microsoft. We had Durango (fucking SUV) last gen now Scarlett. Nintendo with dolphin did a better job and dolphin is a stupid name.

This is the type of argument made by someone who thinks gaming started in Generation 6.  2D Mario and 2D Sonic may look different on the surface, but they are actually not that different from each other.  They are both 2D platformers.  A lot of former Mario fans bought a Genesis for Sonic instead.  Both games basically scratch the same itch.

Switch games are not that different from Playstation games.  Are you going to tell me that if a person wants to play Horizon: Zero Dawn then they would never ever consider Breath of the Wild?  The games are pretty similar.  Or perhaps a person likes RPGs?  They might ignore Final Fantasy 16 on the PS5 and instead decide they want to play Pokemon, XC2, Octopath Traveler, and all of the other RPGs on the Switch.  These games are really not that different.  They scratch the same itch.

Given, there are plenty of games on both systems that are pretty different too, but if you go back before Generation 6, it was common to have home consoles with significant differences in their game libraries.  The Genesis had a different feel from both the NES and the SNES, while the latter two feel similar.  A lot of people still left the NES to buy a Genesis next generation.

By the same token a lot of people are going to leave the PS4 and play the Switch instead of the PS5.

There were some games on the SNES and Genesis that were the same, but there were also far more differences than the PS4 and XB1.  At least 80% of XB1 games are also on PS4, so they really look the same.  The SNES and Genesis libraries didn't have nearly so many identical games.  There are quite a few instances where the SNES and Genesis have two games with the same name, but they are actually two different games.  The game libraries were actually a lot more different back then.  But even though their game libraries were different, Genesis still attracted fans of the NES.

You are right that a system's main selling point is the games.  However Switch has lots of games and the rate they are releasing is still accelerating.  Switch has no problem getting games.  That means it will have no problem getting home console gamers either.  The longer Sony waits to release the PS5, the more home console gamers will go to the Switch instead.

If they are to continue succeeding, they have to focus on the consumer. They should focus on what exactly they're bringing to the table, and how they can serve the people that have chosen them for their gaming this current generation.

Frankly, I don't believe they're gonna succeed again yet. I've seen and have studied a lot about this industry, and I believe Sony is in a very tricky position. On one hand they can't risk giving up what they have, and yet they might face disruption by other tecnologies that are coming up, if they don't change. So, the way I see it, it is damned if you do and damned if you don't. So, I don't really have a very good advice to give them, If what I thought really mattered. Their dominance will inevitably fade away to a certain degree, that's how I see it. So, in terms of PlaySation business it doesn't matter what Microsoft does, it only matters what Sony chooses to do..

It's interesting to see you both discuss. Let's see…

Liquid_Laser is right, the games on Switch and PS4 are very similar, as they have similar *gameplay*. You are right, the games on PS4 and Switch are very different, as both have different *looks*. There are different gamers out there, that focus on different things. For the ones focusing more on gameplay, they'll feel like Laser. For the ones looking for technical superiority (aka the graficz), they will feel like you. I can't say anyone of you is per se right or wrong, you both have a point.

And by the way, this is different than Wii vs. PS3. Because in the Wii days, games not only looked different, they had also mostly different gampelay on Wii.

This certainly seems like an advantage in this discussion. Judging the video game industry and especially market by how it was in the Snes/Genesis days is a mistake. The market has vastly changed.

This is a pretty good description of the differences between our two arguments.  I very obviously don't think looks are the biggest deciding factor.  I think gameplay is. 

But this isn't just my opinion.  The two most successful games of all time are Tetris and Minecraft.  Those games did not sell because of looks.  More importantly, in most generations the weaker console is the winner.  Do good graphics help sell a game?  Yes, they do.  But they are not the most important factor.  Gameplay is the most important factor.

You have described the fundamental difference between our two arguments.  And we both have a point.

On the developer side things have changed a lot.  The types of games that developers make has changed a lot.  But the consumer side has not changed.  Human nature is the same as it was 30 years ago.  The reasons why people stick with the same console maker or change to another one are still the same.