https://www.businessinsider.com/biden-iowa-caucus-4th-place-rivals-say-2020-2?utm_source=reddit.com
All these internal campaign counts would have to be undertracking Biden, and overtracking other candidates by 5% or more, for Biden to not be taking 3rd or 4th place. I'd say there's a good 70% chance that Biden is 3rd place or worse.









