By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - When (if at all) Do You Think the NS Hardware Sales LTD Will Overtake XOne's?

 

When (if at all) Do You Think the NS Hardware Sales LTD Will Overtake XOne's?

Q1-2 2019 69 4.20%
 
Q3-4 2019 552 33.58%
 
Q1-2 2020 394 23.97%
 
Q3-4 2020 363 22.08%
 
Q1-2 2021 68 4.14%
 
Q3-4 2021 53 3.22%
 
Q1-2 2022 15 0.91%
 
Q3-4 2022 11 0.67%
 
2023 or later 19 1.16%
 
Never 100 6.08%
 
Total:1,644
COKTOE said:

S'gon happen. Why does every poll here, even the ones made by staff, have insane options? Went with Q 1-2 2020.

 

- Didn't even realize this was the Poll Of The Week.

Theres some truth to this.... I also veiw 2022 & 2023 as "insane".

Q2 of 2020 is also what I think most likely.



Around the Network

Taking a look from the recent results and VGC number for the Xbone, I'd say it is a realistic prospect to see the Switch surpassing it during the next Christmas Holidays in december 2019 extended to march 2020.



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

I think around christmas 2019



Like many here I think it will be either Q3-4 2019 or Q1-2 2020. Personally I think Q4 2019 is likely.



Before Xbox Next releases probably.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

Around the Network

XB1 should hit 50m before the end of 2019 (there are rumors of an XB1 S price drop and an even cheaper discless XB1 model this year, in addition to a big Holiday exclusive, Gears 5). That means that Switch will have to sell over 20m in 2019 to pass XB1. 20m+ Switches sold in 2019 will only happen imo if 3 things happen, 1. Pokemon gen 8 makes 2019 and isn't lazy. 2. Animal Crossing makes 2019. 3. The rumored new Switch Lite and Switch Pro models release, with the Switch Lite costing $250. While it is possible that all 3 things will happen, I am somewhat doubtful that they will. So, my money is on Switch passing XB1 in Q1 2020.



Going to be 2nd half of 2019. XB1 is coming to a close and winding down. Switch sales are about to take off like a rocket. It's definitely happening this year.



Jigsawx1 said:
i think the switch will stop selling well when next xbox and playstation arrives, so will it be able to overtake the xbox within the next 2 years? dont think so it should sell ~ 28-to 29 million during this time and next year it dont has much aaa software like this year.....

It won't stop selling just like the PS4 didn't stop selling when the Switch came out.

----

I think it will be end of Q4 2019 or early 2020.



shikamaru317 said:

XB1 should hit 50m before the end of 2019 (there are rumors of an XB1 S price drop and an even cheaper discless XB1 model this year, in addition to a big Holiday exclusive, Gears 5). That means that Switch will have to sell over 20m in 2019 to pass XB1. 20m+ Switches sold in 2019 will only happen imo if 3 things happen, 1. Pokemon gen 8 makes 2019 and isn't lazy. 2. Animal Crossing makes 2019. 3. The rumored new Switch Lite and Switch Pro models release, with the Switch Lite costing $250. While it is possible that all 3 things will happen, I am somewhat doubtful that they will. So, my money is on Switch passing XB1 in Q1 2020.

They don't need all that to reach 20+ millions.

Just have multiple system seller/big games over the year instead of 2 at the same time at the end of the year. Fire Emblem, Luigi's mansion, Animal Crossing and the potential of Metroid/Bayonetta 3/Pokemon/SMTV/Yokai Watch 4 is well enough. Switch might get a price cut this year also, don't think it needs a revision this year or atleast just for the holidays maybe. But i think they should keep it for 2020 once the next gen is announced.



It's definitely possible it could happen this year but only if Nintendo doesn't drop the ball, something they do with frustrating regularity.



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.