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Forums - Sales Discussion - Will the PS4 be able to stay above 50% market share?

 

Do you think it'll be over 50% when all's said and done?

Yes 35 44.87%
 
No 43 55.13%
 
Total:78
Intrinsic said:
Azhraell said:
Call me crazy but unlike many here I think it has a decent chance to stay above 50% or at least very close. Sony consoles usually have way better legs than Xbox & Nintendo. I'm not really sure how far Switch will go but it already got a majority of its big exclusives, what comes after will be sequels and some new ip here and there that won't move many new buyers (then again they might have another hit like splatoon or pokemon). We will see I guess

But do they really?

Where was the PS1 when the PS2 was released and how many did it go onto sell after.

The PS2 to 3 was weird in that the PS3 stumbled out the gate and the PS2 was a casual (and third world) power house. 

The PS3 has only managed like what? 5 to 10M sales since the PS4 released? 

Yeah it sold around that after ps4 released. But there are things to consider, like people being already tired and hungry for a new gen as ps3 was out 7 years unlike previous gens. It also never had the kind of domination ps4 has had until now. Then you have other things like price, I remember ps3 was always kinda expensive, I guess because of the way it was built. Oh and Sony seems to be pushing a lot more in China/asian countries and south america (here ps3 was expensive until they stopped selling).

idk it's just a hunch anyways, they still have a big stuff coming and there' the possibility of a new grand theft auto before the gen is over. In any case, I just said they had better legs than Xbox and Nintendo from what I remember, not that every console sells 30+ millions after a succesor is out



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betacon said:
Intrinsic said:

But do they really?

Where was the PS1 when the PS2 was released and how many did it go onto sell after.

The PS2 to 3 was weird in that the PS3 stumbled out the gate and the PS2 was a casual (and third world) power house. 

The PS3 has only managed like what? 5 to 10M sales since the PS4 released? 

Just under 20 million after the ps2 release

What????

well I guess they have legs then...



Switch is obviously included here because if it was the Wii U we already have the answer. No need to predict or discuss anything



Pocky Lover Boy! 

Jranation said:
Switch is obviously included here because if it was the Wii U we already have the answer. No need to predict or discuss anything

I was simply going by VGChartz numbers. On the front page, it lists the marketshare split as between PS4, Xbone, and Switch.



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

A better question would be: when the ps4 go below 50% market share?
id say 2020.



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jonathanalis said:
A better question would be: when the ps4 go below 50% market share?
id say 2020.

Well, so far over 40% of voters would answer that with "never".

Last edited by curl-6 - on 19 December 2018

Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

Intrinsic said:
betacon said:

Just under 20 million after the ps2 release

What????

well I guess they have legs then...

The PSOne (small redesign) launched in July (Japan) & Sept (US/EU) of 2000 at $99.99 and got a price cut to $49.99 in May 2002. It shipped 28.15 million by the time it was discontinued in March 2006.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

What the OP raises might be a possibility but I'd say it's totally contingent on these two key crucial aspects as to how it'll play out in the future ...

1) Timing

With the above it'll rest on how far protracted Sony wants this current generation to last and how short Nintendo wants their current system to last before the release of a new one. If Sony can afford to push the release of their new system by late 2021 then it raises the chances of PS4 reaching above 150M units. On the other hand, if Nintendo decides to cut it at late 2022 which may not be all that unreasonable of date to launch a new system so there is potential in that case the Switch could have it's legs cut somewhat short by it's successor ...

2) Pricing Strategy

The plans regarding this will rest on how aggressive Sony will be in the coming years including maybe leading into the next generation or what Nintendo might possibly do as well with the Switch. If Sony starts creating a free fall of the price of PS4 such that they'll cut the system by $50 every year starting next year up until it reaches $150, there's a real possibility in that instance where Sony could really ramp up some more growth in developing markets like Latin America, Eastern Europe, Middle East, South East Asia, some parts of Africa along with mainland China as well since they perform very well outside of traditional western/japanese markets. As for Nintendo with the Switch, they might not decide to have a price cut at all next year and hold off their first official price cut or put out a lower price SKU until 2020 and we might not ever see more than two prices cuts either which could total out to the system never costing less than a $200 price point. More specifically if Nintendo decides to hold out the Switch's price at $250 and above for the majority of it's life it could raise the possibility of stunting the systems sales in it's later years since by the end of 2019 all of their staple franchises will have released which makes it far harder at that point to grow the systems userbase without price cuts or serious holiday deals ...

Then we have the Xbox One could probably sell to as much as 60M units ...

Basically Sony would have to try to maximize PS4's hardware sales as much as possible once next generation takes root and Nintendo would have to hold off and minimize the Switch ...



a

ironmanDX said:
Nope. Switch is gen 9 though.

Those generation numbers are arbitrary.



I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.

If Xbox One can do close or over 60mil, while Switch does beat the 3DS and PS4 is below PS2. Then It should drop below 50%



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