TheBraveGallade said:
Mnementh said:
Drat, I forgot Pokemon. That surely beats 2M in every incarnation. Fire emblem awakening is indeed past 2M, Fates scratches the 2M. But it is also a combination with strategy, which is a market where turn-based works better. Persona is at 1.7M if you add PS3-sales. Dragon Quest XI is at 1.8M for 3DS and 1.4M for PS4. It has passed 2M if you count both together. Bravely Default is at 1.4M, I don't find data for second on VGC.
So, what does it say for Octopath? I think we can agree, it probably won't tap into the Pokemon-market. Fire Emblem with it's combination with strategy can go past 2M, but not by much. Octopath doesn't have that element. persona 5 one of the highest acclaimed turn-based RPGs of the last time is below 2M on two platforms. Counting digital it might beat 2M, but barely. So that leaves Dragon Quest, which in combiation is somewhere at 3M, not 6M. Maybe that can clear 6M including digital after the Switch release on 3 platforms. Octopath should manage that on one platform? Unlikely.
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Digging deeper,
Bowser's inside story sold 4.5mil
Dream team sold 2.2 mil
While all DQ games sell over 2mil the last DQ game to sell really well is 9 on the DS with 5.2 mil.
Then again DQ never had the presence in the west...
The closest thing I can find to compare this game to is bravely default, but apparently it's actually doubling THAT game in sales so I think 3M is a lock in.
I think the reason they stocked so low is because they were expecting bravely default sales levels. Currently the demand is at least double that.
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So Mario+Luigi and DQ breaking the 2M mark. Still nothing Octopath can do.
To the bolded: There comes the information from, it doubles sales of Bravely Default? So far I'm only aware of Japanese numbers, which were 140K for Bravely and 110K for Octopath while supply constraint (Square really shipped less than Bravely - did they really think it would do worse?). While I think the idea it does better in the West could have merit, as Bravely was on handheld and apparently the west is averse to handheld, it must've doing a lot better in the west to not only outdo the worse performance in Japan, but actually lead to doubled sales.
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