Forums - Sales Discussion - Japan sales (Week 19): Media Create/Famitsu/Dengeki - May 7-13, 2018 ( aftermath)

Mnementh said:
CaptainExplosion said:

But do they mean out of 10 or out of 100?

As the other games have review-scores in the 60s, 70s, 80s and so on I assume out of 100.

That game seems to have bad reviews everywhere. It hasn't been well reviewed even on Amazon where it has less than 3 stars.



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Is this the worst week of the year for switch?



Megiddo said:
Green098 said:

...or just sell good holiday numbers. You do know Nintendo consoles have had multiple 300-500k weeks before right?

Last year over November-December, the Switch averaged 145k over 9 weeks. If the Switch does the same then it will need to average around 75k/week starting next week through October.

That's bc it was heavily supply constrained some weeks.



 

 

We reap what we sow

160rmf said:
Megiddo said:

Last year over November-December, the Switch averaged 145k over 9 weeks. If the Switch does the same then it will need to average around 75k/week starting next week through October.

That's bc it was heavily supply constrained some weeks.

Hold up playa supply contrains only exist for sony consoles



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160rmf said:
Megiddo said:

Last year over November-December, the Switch averaged 145k over 9 weeks. If the Switch does the same then it will need to average around 75k/week starting next week through October.

That's bc it was heavily supply constrained some weeks.

Okay, then it would have spilled over into sales in 2018.



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kirby007 said:
160rmf said:

That's bc it was heavily supply constrained some weeks.

Hold up playa supply contrains only exist for sony consoles

Indeed, my bad. For Nintendo is "Artificial Demand", right?



 

 

We reap what we sow

160rmf said:
kirby007 said:

Hold up playa supply contrains only exist for sony consoles

Indeed, my bad. For Nintendo is "Artificial Demand", right?

Either that, or since you can buy it from scalpers on amazon, not out of stock. 



 

Megiddo said:
160rmf said:

That's bc it was heavily supply constrained some weeks.

Okay, then it would have spilled over into sales in 2018.

Well, it kinda did. If it wasn't it would be just like PS4.



 

 

We reap what we sow

Assuming that people who wanted to buy one during Nov-Dec would have purchased one as soon as they were available (which is a logical assumption) then those sales are already accounted for.

Basically it's 4 million minus Switch YTD minus the sum of Nov-Dec 2017 Switch sales divided by remaining weeks. So instead of those sales being in the Nov-Dec 2017 section they're in the Switch YTD section. They still are accounted for in the approximations.

@160rmf Why would you expect the 2nd year of a Nintendo handheld/hybrid to sell the same as the 5th year of a dedicated home console where Sony has long-abandoned Japan as a prime market?



Megiddo said:

Assuming that people who wanted to buy one during Nov-Dec would have purchased one as soon as they were available (which is a logical assumption) then those sales are already accounted for.

Basically it's 4 million minus Switch YTD minus the sum of Nov-Dec 2017 Switch sales divided by remaining weeks. So instead of those sales being in the Nov-Dec 2017 section they're in the Switch YTD section. They still are accounted for in the approximations.

@160rmf Why would you expect the 2nd year of a Nintendo handheld/hybrid to sell the same as the 5th year of a dedicated home console?

That's not the point. What I am saying is that you're talking like if the 145k was the max it could get from holidays. But your parameters are weak when we all know it was supply constrained that period last year.



 

 

We reap what we sow