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Forums - Sales - Prediction ps4 will sell 130+mill systems.

 

Ps4 will end at?

110mill 16 21.92%
 
120mill 25 34.25%
 
130mill 18 24.66%
 
140mill 7 9.59%
 
It will beat ps2. 7 9.59%
 
Total:73
MasterThief said:

it wont. people never remember the fact that the PS2 sold a ton after PS3 release because it was still marketed, it had more support than the PS3 up until 2008 and it was cheap as hell. the PS2 was like 150 dollars and it wasn't an online console

games were cheap, it was a good dvd player, no internet means the games dont mean any less since most games weren't online so they didn't die.

PS4 will sell 110 million. thats around the relative maximum this piece of hardware will sell. nothing significantly more.  tho. my estimate is closer to 105 million.

 

I do hope it sells more but I highly doubt it. unless god of war and the last of us two move an ungodly amount of units which I assume fans of the games already own a ps4 anyway. for the most part

 

online consoles simply won't sell much after their generation is over because they get massively less support. the ps3 support pretty much 100% ended on PS4 relaease and it got like 1 more COD and a cpl sports games but that to be expected. PS2 had god of war 2 post ps3 release and a lot of other exclusives.

Lol.

Ps4 will be around 90-95mil at the end of 2018 , soo it will crumble down like the wii and stop selling in 2019,2020,2021?



 

My youtube gaming page.

http://www.youtube.com/user/klaudkil

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MasterThief said:

it wont. people never remember the fact that the PS2 sold a ton after PS3 release because it was still marketed, it had more support than the PS3 up until 2008 and it was cheap as hell. the PS2 was like 150 dollars and it wasn't an online console

games were cheap, it was a good dvd player, no internet means the games dont mean any less since most games weren't online so they didn't die.

PS4 will sell 110 million. thats around the relative maximum this piece of hardware will sell. nothing significantly more.  tho. my estimate is closer to 105 million.

 

I do hope it sells more but I highly doubt it. unless god of war and the last of us two move an ungodly amount of units which I assume fans of the games already own a ps4 anyway. for the most part

 

online consoles simply won't sell much after their generation is over because they get massively less support. the ps3 support pretty much 100% ended on PS4 relaease and it got like 1 more COD and a cpl sports games but that to be expected. PS2 had god of war 2 post ps3 release and a lot of other exclusives.

The PS4 is still doing well at $299.  Even without another price cut and further bundling of games, it could easily reach 100M.  What do you think is going to happen once the price officially gets cut to $249?  Or $199?  Or $149-$169?  It'll easily pass 110M.



xl-klaudkil said:
MasterThief said:

it wont. people never remember the fact that the PS2 sold a ton after PS3 release because it was still marketed, it had more support than the PS3 up until 2008 and it was cheap as hell. the PS2 was like 150 dollars and it wasn't an online console

games were cheap, it was a good dvd player, no internet means the games dont mean any less since most games weren't online so they didn't die.

PS4 will sell 110 million. thats around the relative maximum this piece of hardware will sell. nothing significantly more.  tho. my estimate is closer to 105 million.

 

I do hope it sells more but I highly doubt it. unless god of war and the last of us two move an ungodly amount of units which I assume fans of the games already own a ps4 anyway. for the most part

 

online consoles simply won't sell much after their generation is over because they get massively less support. the ps3 support pretty much 100% ended on PS4 relaease and it got like 1 more COD and a cpl sports games but that to be expected. PS2 had god of war 2 post ps3 release and a lot of other exclusives.

Lol.

Ps4 will be around 90-95mil at the end of 2018 , soo it will crumble down like the wii and stop selling in 2019,2020,2021?

ps5 will release in 2020 and it will be unveiled early that year. sales will halt for the most part early 2020. it will probably sell 15 in 2019 .  ~105-110 million. in 2020 probably sell ~5 mill.

 

if ps4 sells 20m this year total we gonna be at 95 mill. tho thats a high estimate really. I expect ~17m this year and ~15m next year due to a price cut.



MasterThief said:

it wont. people never remember the fact that the PS2 sold a ton after PS3 release because it was still marketed, it had more support than the PS3 up until 2008 and it was cheap as hell. the PS2 was like 150 dollars and it wasn't an online console

games were cheap, it was a good dvd player, no internet means the games dont mean any less since most games weren't online so they didn't die.

PS4 will sell 110 million. thats around the relative maximum this piece of hardware will sell. nothing significantly more.  tho. my estimate is closer to 105 million.

 

I do hope it sells more but I highly doubt it. unless god of war and the last of us two move an ungodly amount of units which I assume fans of the games already own a ps4 anyway. for the most part

 

online consoles simply won't sell much after their generation is over because they get massively less support. the ps3 support pretty much 100% ended on PS4 relaease and it got like 1 more COD and a cpl sports games but that to be expected. PS2 had god of war 2 post ps3 release and a lot of other exclusives.

When PS5 launches and games run in 4k.... I wouldnt be surprised to see PS4pro versions of said games, that just run like 1080p instead.

I dont think PS4 dies as soon as PS5 launches.  You mentioned what happends with multiplayer type games, they simply die and lose meaning when a new systesm launches.... but thats not a issue with single player games! and PS4 has alot of good single player titles.

Also at 199$ I think the PS4 was still sold at break even point.... I wouldnt rule out that it might hit 150$ by the time the PS5 launches.



130m is possible, all depends on how long they plan to support it after the launch of PS5



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MasterThief said:
xl-klaudkil said:

Lol.

Ps4 will be around 90-95mil at the end of 2018 , soo it will crumble down like the wii and stop selling in 2019,2020,2021?

ps5 will release in 2020 and it will be unveiled early that year. sales will halt for the most part early 2020. it will probably sell 15 in 2019 .  ~105-110 million. in 2020 probably sell ~5 mill.

 

if ps4 sells 20m this year total we gonna be at 95 mill. tho thats a high estimate really. I expect ~17m this year and ~15m next year due to a price cut.

Considering the big games coming out this and next year plus upcoming price cuts, PS4 will have passed 110 before PS5 will release and will still continue to sell the years after, even if they just continue selling the Pro (slim) model.



MasterThief said:
xl-klaudkil said:

Lol.

Ps4 will be around 90-95mil at the end of 2018 , soo it will crumble down like the wii and stop selling in 2019,2020,2021?

ps5 will release in 2020 and it will be unveiled early that year. sales will halt for the most part early 2020. it will probably sell 15 in 2019 .  ~105-110 million. in 2020 probably sell ~5 mill.

 

if ps4 sells 20m this year total we gonna be at 95 mill. tho thats a high estimate really. I expect ~17m this year and ~15m next year due to a price cut.

17M this year will put it at 93.5M. 15M next year will put it at 108.5M and 5M in 2020 will out it at 113.5M. But your estimate is 105M?



Lawlight said:
MasterThief said:

ps5 will release in 2020 and it will be unveiled early that year. sales will halt for the most part early 2020. it will probably sell 15 in 2019 .  ~105-110 million. in 2020 probably sell ~5 mill.

 

if ps4 sells 20m this year total we gonna be at 95 mill. tho thats a high estimate really. I expect ~17m this year and ~15m next year due to a price cut.

17M this year will put it at 93.5M. 15M next year will put it at 108.5M and 5M in 2020 will out it at 113.5M. But your estimate is 105M?

Dont worry this guy has noo clue whatsoever what he's talking about.

5mill in 2020 xd lol!



 

My youtube gaming page.

http://www.youtube.com/user/klaudkil

xl-klaudkil said:
Lawlight said:

17M this year will put it at 93.5M. 15M next year will put it at 108.5M and 5M in 2020 will out it at 113.5M. But your estimate is 105M?

Dont worry this guy has noo clue whatsoever what he's talking about.

5mill in 2020 xd lol!

I expect most of this year to be down slightly, but once we get to the holidays and have more than a week's worth of PS4 at $199, or even a PS4 at $249 for the rest of the year, it should make up for it, and PS4 should either be slightly above last year, or it will be on par with last year.  2019, I expect sales to drop by 2M-3M, so ~17M-18M.  Personally, I do expect the PS5 in late 2019, but that doesn't mean the PS4 will stop selling.  It'll definitely be $199 by then.  So, 2020 should be ~15M.  Then, Sony should have one more cut, at least to $169, which should lead to 2021 being 12M-13M.  After that, it will probably see steeper drops.



As it stands I am even beginning to have my doubts it comes out in 2020. I am leaning more towards 2021/2022 now.

The thing is, any hardware they have to put in the PS5 in 2020 is pretty much what they will go with in 2021/2022. Only difference being that it would be cheaper.