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Forums - Sales - Japan sales (Week 10): Media Create/Famitsu/Dengeki - March 05-11, 2018

Very good opening for First of the North Star on PS4, didn't expect that!

Those PS4 shortages are huge in Japan. :/



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Switch sales are so similar to last week that it makes me wonder if it’s still not supply constrained.



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

Looks like I'll be triple dipping on a certain Nippon Ichi title. Poor Nippon, and to think that's one of my most anticipated titles this year. And a year with the latest fire emblem in it to boot.



duduspace1 said:
zorg1000 said:

It will do over 4 million this year

This will be difficult. Between 3 to 3.5m is more likely at current selling rate.......the dark horse is the Labo effect.  It might not need Japan to meet Global targets though. It is doing extremely well in Germany, France and Spain and the UK is starting to stir. Last week's direct is bringing significant momentum.

Like people already wrote, Switch last year done 3.3m with huge stock problems and plenty of 20-30k weeks, so Switch this year will easily pass that, it will end somewhere around 4m probably.

Last edited by Miyamotoo - on 14 March 2018

What? The Hokuto no Ken game already came out?



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splatoon 2 will never die



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duduspace1 said:
tbone51 said:

In japan switch is at 535k for the year. There are 42 weeks left. If nsw avg 55k a week for the next 38 weeks and avg 175k for Dec (4 weeks) that is right there...  3.5mil for 2018.

 

Its going to avg better than 55k a week due to bumps (even if baseline is 45k). Its going over 4mil

This is very convincing so I'll move my estimate to between 3.5 and 4m. I am still not sure of over 4m.

Thats fair. Its not guarteed 4mil+ but 3.5mil should be the floor



11111 :p

BotW will hit 1M in Japan soon



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PwerlvlAmy said:
splatoon 2 will never die

What is squid will never kid



I decided last week I'd start keeping track of the prospective PS4 and Switch Japanese sales estimates that I keep seeing repeated in these threads. The estimates are 2 million PS4 sales in Japan for 2018 and 4 million Switch sales in Japan for 2018.

Current Week: 10 (Please correct me if I'm wrong here as it will change the results slightly)

 

  YTD Units Till Estimate Average Weekly Needed
PS4 647,945 1,352,055 32,191
Switch 535,375 3,464,625 82,491

I'll be keeping an update of this each week to see how each week's sales will impact the ability to reach the sales estimates from people in this thread.